4 ms·

There is a huge back end on Twitter even though the front end looks poorly thought out and over-simplified... The back-end reporting and tracking apparatuses bu

There is a huge back end on Twitter even though the front end looks poorly thought out and over-simplified... The back-end reporting and tracking apparatuses built into that site are probably failing miserably, and pissing off a lot of undisclosed clients. Elon needs technical architects and technical direction more than just developers if you ask me. I don't think Twitter will completely fail, but I'm pretty sure it will stumble quite publicly/visibly a lot in the coming weeks.

Macha 4y ago
I think it will have outages/fail whales until stumbling into a new sale or bankruptcy because it's scared off the advertisers. I don't think the majority opinion on engineers is that it'll crash and then they'll throw in the towel and that's it, but there's plenty of other ultimately fatal outcomes for twitter, and plenty of non-fatal technical issues they can encounter on the way there.
- adventured 4y ago
  It's not going to stumble into a new sale or bankruptcy anytime soon (next several years). He'll slash the costs dramatically to adjust for the loss of revenue. He just sold another $4 billion in Tesla stock the other day to most likely cover the expected losses over the next few years. Slash deep enough and you can easily run Twitter on a few hundred million dollar loss per year. He probably thinks he can get it to break-even following this approach over the next few years and go from there. Facebook was profitable at under $1b in sales with a larger userbase size 12 years ago. Why can't Twitter get there today? Twitter was unprofitable with $5.2b in sales, it was an exceptionally bloated corporation.
moolcool 4y ago
> The back-end reporting and tracking apparatuses built into that site are probably failing miserably, and pissing off a lot of undisclosed clients I guess every cloud has a silver lining

Macha 4y ago

I think it will have outages/fail whales until stumbling into a new sale or bankruptcy because it's scared off the advertisers. I don't think the majority opinion on engineers is that it'll crash and then they'll throw in the towel and that's it, but there's plenty of other ultimately fatal outcomes for twitter, and plenty of non-fatal technical issues they can encounter on the way there.

adventured 4y ago
It's not going to stumble into a new sale or bankruptcy anytime soon (next several years). He'll slash the costs dramatically to adjust for the loss of revenue. He just sold another $4 billion in Tesla stock the other day to most likely cover the expected losses over the next few years. Slash deep enough and you can easily run Twitter on a few hundred million dollar loss per year. He probably thinks he can get it to break-even following this approach over the next few years and go from there. Facebook was profitable at under $1b in sales with a larger userbase size 12 years ago. Why can't Twitter get there today? Twitter was unprofitable with $5.2b in sales, it was an exceptionally bloated corporation.

moolcool 4y ago

> The back-end reporting and tracking apparatuses built into that site are probably failing miserably, and pissing off a lot of undisclosed clients I guess every cloud has a silver lining