3 ms·
At an abstract level this is true for all capital assets to some extent. The price level correlated with the velocity of exchange for the asset class, if everyo
by lumost 4y ago
At an abstract level this is true for all capital assets to some extent. The price level correlated with the velocity of exchange for the asset class, if everyone in Boston tried to sell their house tomorrow the market would crash, even though on paper the real estate value of Boston is around 100 billion. On the other end, you can sell 100 billion in treasuries without a problem (fingers-crossed). On a day to day basis the trading volume relative to the size of the asset is minuscule.
Economists track money locked into different tiers of static assets as different money supply tiers. M0 is the money that gets used to buy your morning coffee, M4 is things like government bonds and housing. There are different tiers in between for things like your car, an assembly line, or a stock.
The reason the rampant money printing of the last decade didn’t effect inflation was due to the money being locked up in the low velocity tiers which have ballooned in size over the last decade. Any event which causes people to liquidate these assets such as war, supply disruption, energy crises, or disease moves inflation higher as the asset battery gets deployed to fight the crises.
Biggest historical example of this was the WW2 where all sides had to adopt measures to counter inflation.
- jerojero 4y agoVery good comment, just felt the need to point out that the rampant money printing has in fact affected inflation. The inflation rates of the USA are very high but the world's reliance on the US dollar has made the scenario worse for everyone else in the world. There is no country in the world right now that is not suffering from it.
- shanusmagnus 4y agoThis was super helpful context, thank you. Question: how do they know when money migrates between these tiers? E.g., some of my paycheck goes into an index fund; occasionally an index fund gets liquidated to buy a house, or to pay for a vacation. Is there some "trigger" at certain points that lets these tier estimates get updated, or is it just ad-hoc guessing?
- lumost 4y agoIt’s estimated via surveys and other statistical approaches. The fed’s estimates can be found here. They should have links to the underlying methods. https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/default.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/default.h...