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Not only that, new listings are down YoY while inventory continues to grow. That's a bad combination if you want prices to continue to go up. There's so many p
by BuckRogers 4y ago
Not only that, new listings are down YoY while inventory continues to grow. That's a bad combination if you want prices to continue to go up.
There's so many predictions but my take is simple, the only thing for sure is that prices are not going up anytime soon again.
I'm still renting as I moved around a lot for jobs. I've saved hundreds of thousands of dollars, and intend to strike in 2023. I'm still looking for deals in the meanwhile, but most of these sellers are bitter that the market from even at ~5% in the summer is gone. And by and large the buyers disappeared in March in my region.
At a certain point, prices do have to match the cost of borrowing money. That's the trap of cheap loans. Those that got ~3% loans are stuck in whatever home they chose without a loss. They can't sell because most used that cheap money to pay ahead on decades of gains. Finding a sucker at 7%+ is going to be impossible, because short-term minded people simply don't have the money or means. And there's only so many generous and wealthy fathers to go around. Even those dads or investors don't want to take a risk in a market that hasn't bottomed out yet.
Once again, as always, cash is king.
- seanmcdirmid 4y agoMany home owners can wait if their plans are flexible. But taking it at face value, selling when prices are high is often a net-zero since you have to buy back into the same hot market (likewise, selling in a cold market can make sense if you want to upgrade into the same cold market). Selling in a hot market is only a net win for investment properties or second/third homes, and those people often can wait out cold markets (but sometimes they are leveraged like crazy and can't!).