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I don't know your personal situation, but the way I interpret things is kind of like this: - FAANG got bloated during the bubble and anticipated growth that is
by mariojv 4y ago
I don't know your personal situation, but the way I interpret things is kind of like this:
- FAANG got bloated during the bubble and anticipated growth that isn't materializing as fast, so they're cutting headcount. Similar for other big non-FAANG public companies.
- Down stock market means that public companies can't get as much capital for new investment by selling shares.
- High interest rates increase cost of debt, meaning nonprofitable companies relying on debt to grow will not grow as fast and may cut costs to become profitable or cash flow positive.
In other words, I think the impact will mostly be on "growth" companies that are not profitable, and companies that got bloated in the past few years.
I think companies will still hire software engineers, but the places with the most headcount are going to pay less. They didn't become bloated during the COVID bubble because they pay less. Think lower growth, stable, profitable, private companies that need folks to keep the lights on, where engineering is a cost center and not the company's focus. The places that pay top dollar will be more limited because growth prospects have narrowed. Entry level folks that can code will probably find a job, but it might not pay well.
I don't have a crystal ball, but I don't think it's going to be as bad as 2000 or 2008. We'll see though. The next 2 quarters will be informative.
- abraxas 4y agoFor software engineering 2001 especially post 9/11 was brutal. Much more so than 2008 unless you worked for a financial company. 2008/2009 was lean times but good people were able to find work. After the dotcom bust however, things were so bad I had a friend who is a very good developer who spent a couple of years gluing shoes for a living. In Canada.
- everfrustrated 4y agoWhile this is true, 22 years on the tech industry is a very different size. It could play out differently.
- myth_drannon 4y agoI spent some time working as a secuirty guard (while a student) after dotcome bust. Half of my coworkers were laid off software developers.
- cvhashim 4y agoTech is such an important facet of our lives these days the amount of work to do outweighs whatever was around in the early 2000s.
- netfortius 4y agoThe problem is that neither in 2000, nor in 2008, have we had the amount of meaningless crypto/blockchain/web3 out of thin air tens of thousands of jobs created, in all places of over night born companies.
- ss108 4y agoWasn't that 2000? I was 10 at the time, so IDK