> Another example, if you had no idea who the next presidential winner will be between two candidates, than saying it's 50-50 is an accurate description of your

> Another example, if you had no idea who the next presidential winner will be between two candidates, than saying it's 50-50 is an accurate description of your knowledge. How do you capture the difference between having no idea and having the absolute best possible idea that anyone has or can has and that idea being the probability is 50-50? 50-50 = no idea, zero certainty 50-50 = expert analysis with as high degree of certainty as possible of a very, very close race These two things are expressed as being equal? Feels like something important has been lost.