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I don't like how they keep blaming climate change, even though that doesn't seem to be what happened here. We just had one of the best seasons for crab fishing;
by guywithahat 4y ago
I don't like how they keep blaming climate change, even though that doesn't seem to be what happened here. We just had one of the best seasons for crab fishing; does CBS expect us to think climate change in the last year ruined this season? Much more likely is disease, some new techniques in crab fishing that over harvested the sea, or random deviation.
- Daishiman 4y ago
- chasd00 4y ago
- nharada 4y ago"Larger statistical variance caused by climate change results in outlier event that kills 90% of crab" isn't a great headline. What do you need to believe that climate change is a factor in this event? A sample size of 1 million? A deviation of 5 sigma?
- guywithahat 4y agoThis is my point though. Over the last 110 years the US has gone up about ~1'F https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-us-and-global-temperature https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indica... This, in theory, changes every aspect of life by some amount, however minuscule or large it may be. In the case of king crab fishing though we haven't really seen a downward trend. What we've seen is some really good seasons, new techniques, and now very few fish. People like to explain everything away due to climate change but it seems more logical to me this is random deviation or the result of new technology or bad practices by the Alaska Department of Fish and Game. Assuming this follows a normal distribution we would expect a shortage of crab by over 2 standard deviations in 50 year intervals (or after ~25 years of beginning our recording), and below 3 standard deviations if we repeat this 20 times. We could explain this away perfectly fine without invoking climate change
- taylodl 4y agoGlobal warming also contributes to the proliferation of disease.