3 ms·
I agree that the numbers reflect the model. But there is no way that the model can fit reality that well. So it is a misleading number.
by antiismist 18y ago
I agree that the numbers reflect the model. But there is no way that the model can fit reality that well. So it is a misleading number.
- robg 18y agoIt's a probability estimate. There is no reality to which it corresponds - that's the popular vote and electoral college projections. And there I expect the model will do exceedingly well, as it did during the primaries.