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Not when the WPCT is based on 10,000 state-by-state daily simulations with every new stream of polls included.
by robg 18y ago
Not when the WPCT is based on 10,000 state-by-state daily simulations with every new stream of polls included.
- antiismist 18y agoI agree that the numbers reflect the model. But there is no way that the model can fit reality that well. So it is a misleading number.
- robg 18y agoIt's a probability estimate. There is no reality to which it corresponds - that's the popular vote and electoral college projections. And there I expect the model will do exceedingly well, as it did during the primaries.