4 ms·
As a fan of SD, I agree that modeling even just very specific human attributes is so incredibly difficult, and I'd say even impossible. Humans are rarely unifor
by spoiler 4y ago
As a fan of SD, I agree that modeling even just very specific human attributes is so incredibly difficult, and I'd say even impossible. Humans are rarely uniform.
There are some population patterns that can be loosely modelled for large sets, but those are also very loose approximations at best. And the smaller (eg more individualism breaks through) the worse the model performs.
And software teams are generally too small, as any useful model would probably have to model individual or at least multiple stereotypes (but I'm reluctant to give those too much weight anyway)
- philipov 4y agoSystem dynamics can tell us how things happened, but they struggle to explain why one system took effect and another did not.
- marcosdumay 4y agoIn chaotic environments, there isn't any why. There may be a reason for a specific alternative not happening, but you can never explain all of them.
- zmgsabst 4y agoThen how can systems design help us predict changes? If we don’t know why a particular model emerged, all changes are “turn back to chaos, see results”.
- marcosdumay 4y ago> If we don’t know why a particular model emerged, all changes are “turn back to chaos, see results”. Well, yes. You don't design complex systems. You can guide their evolution, but absolutely not design.