3 ms·
100% difference in rate is fairly close? I get that these are small rates to begin with, but if your margin of error includes the entire range between 0 and you
by lovich 4y ago
100% difference in rate is fairly close? I get that these are small rates to begin with, but if your margin of error includes the entire range between 0 and your predication in the first place, does your prediction have any value?
- nradov 4y agoBeing within a factor of 2 is fairly close for being early in the pandemic with very limited data. At the time, some other researchers had estimated a fatality rate in the 2% range which was even farther off.