3 ms·
It's perhaps naive and over-simplistic, but the s-curve is so well-established you can probably fit the production cost curve over time to the s-curve and get a
by ip26 4y ago
It's perhaps naive and over-simplistic, but the s-curve is so well-established you can probably fit the production cost curve over time to the s-curve and get a useful prediction.
There's lots of hard work that goes into making it happen, of course.
- marcosdumay 4y agoThe s-curve has two important parameters, but looking at any amount of history before the first inflection you can only ever deduce one of them. So, how exactly to you intent to fit the renewables (that are pre-inflection) production curves into it?
- ip26 4y agoYou are certainly right about renewables that are pre-inflection. I was thinking of solar and wind, which I understand are both in the steep part of the S curve.
- marcosdumay 4y ago> steep part of the S curve What part again? Are you claiming that their growth is linear?