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Ask HN: Will Russia start nuclear war?
Russia is suffering a humiliating defeats in Ukraine not seen since WW2. Will their leadership resort to use of nuclear weapons?
We're moving to Berlin (from CA) next spring (my wife got an internal transfer there), but the way things are, I am a bit antsy.
Sorry about the throwaway account. My wives teammates nor our friends or neighbours here aren't aware of our plans yet.
- RegnisGnaw 4y agoI'm thinking yes to battlefield nuclear weapons. Nothing bigger then that.
- daemoens 4y agoBattlefield nukes have almost no benefits with an incredible number of downsides. Russia would become a pariah to the few allies they have left, and the fallout would hurt the territory they want to capture.
- Trouble_007 4y ago"IF" which I doubt. Nuclear Weapon Yield : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_weapon_yield https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_weapon_yield Variable Yield, a.k.a. Dial-a-Yield, is an option available on most modern nuclear weapons : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variable_yield https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variable_yield
- aintmeit 4y agoEven without the threat of nuclear weapons, a country can fall apart all on its own through self-sabotage. I think people should be far more scared of self-inflicted harm. It's also the one risk that can be truly mitigated simply by making sound choices. However, no one likes to think that they are the problem, so they pin their hopes and fears on external causes, or as a shrink would call it, an external locus of control. In the meantime, just laugh away the pain and muffle screams of anguish because we're way past the point of no return.
- epirogov 4y agothese are such minor things, where exactly to catch this
- vbezhenar 4y agoIf things will proceed as they are, they'll wipe civilization. Russia can't afford to lose, it'll cease to exist. And if the alternative is to cease to exist, they'll kill everything in the Earth as well. Putin said recently: "Why do we need a world, if there's no Russia in this world". I really hope that Russia will capture Ukraine. I don't support this war, but that would be the best outcome in current circumstances. Alternative is far worse.
- sidibe 4y agoRussia can afford to lose. Putin can't afford to lose, but that's fine because as Ukraine momentum continues he will be removed or forced to resign and whoever follows can end the conflict and blame everything on him.
- genman 4y agoPrecisely.
- type0 4y ago> I really hope that Russia will capture Ukraine. I don't support this war, but... I really hope you will move to Russia then, if you already don't live there
- vbezhenar 4y agoSo do I.
- dandanua 4y ago> Russia can't afford to lose, it'll cease to exist Brain dead. Though it's normal for a rusсist.
- shrimp_emoji 4y agoNo?
- dandanua 4y agoNo, they can afford to lose a lot of things. Check my analysis https://dandanua.github.io/posts/nuclear-terror-and-game-theory/ https://dandanua.github.io/posts/nuclear-terror-and-game-the...