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Prediction markets are an interesting alternative solution. If people can make money by correctly predicting the outcomes of experiments, and you have a way to
by endtime 4y ago
Prediction markets are an interesting alternative solution. If people can make money by correctly predicting the outcomes of experiments, and you have a way to prevent profit-driven bias impacting outcomes (e.g. independent experiment designers and performers, and the performers can't participate in the market but maybe get a cut of the transaction fees so that more "interesting" experiments get performed), then you get a pretty different research dynamic.
(I am paraphrasing Eliezer Yuskowsky here, specifically a small part of his NSFW and frankly weird collaborative fiction Mad Investor Chaos.)
- marcosdumay 4y agoIf prediction markets could help, we wouldn't need science.
- endtime 4y agoThen how would you resolve the markets? The predictions would be about the outcomes of experiments...