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A lot of people will see this as a pure failure, but this is the system at work. Yes, there are improvements that can be made, but my understanding from reading
by jasonlotito 4y ago
A lot of people will see this as a pure failure, but this is the system at work. Yes, there are improvements that can be made, but my understanding from reading this is they are handling it. This is part of the process, and it's the exception. This is part of the capacity planning, basically.
I guess I would equate it to getting DDoS'ed. You might declare an "emergency" but put into practice plans you had for when this happened. It's the exception, not the rule. It's an "emergency" but it's planned for.
Would it be great if this didn't happen? Sure. But that there clearly are plans in place when it happens is a good sign. It's much better than if nothing was done. You'd still have the emergency, but with no clear plan of action.
- gibsonf1 4y agoA well run state would just not have this problem. It's all caused by bad policy. I would prefer some learning from mistakes and fixing bad policy over being forced to leave the State.
- mattboardman 4y agoFrom an outsider's perspective this appears to be a systemic failure. Maybe because California is a political whipping post, but they seem to be in the news a lot with power disruptions. Is this just a perception and not reality? I live in Nebraska with high summer temperatures and don't remember there being an emergency declared.
- pm90 4y agoThe population of the entire state of Nevraska is less that 2 million. The population of a single city in CA (LA) is twice that. Not an apples to apples comparison.
- mattboardman 4y agoCould you elaborate on the differences? Nebraska might only have 2 million people to power but that also means they only have 2 million people's worth of income taxes to manage the infrastructure. Does power infrastructure and generation become exponentially harder to scale or is it linear? (I'm genuinely curious)
- SpicyLemonZest 4y agoIt's just a perception. Nebraska had rolling blackouts as recently as 2021 (https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/16/us/nebraska-rolling-blackouts.html https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/16/us/nebraska-rolling-black...), although that was for extreme cold rather than heat.
- ZeroGravitas 4y agoNebraska gets half it's electricity from coal, so it's basically in a continual, decades long emergency, they just don't care. Meanwhile, in California, you can't do certain things, like run a ship engine for power, most of the time because it causes unnecessary pollution that affects human health, but when this kind of emergency is declared, they relax those rules for a short period.
- richiebful1 4y agoAnd to be completely clear, those regulations make sense because the Ports of Long Beach and LA are on the edge of the second-largest metro area in the country. No need to burn bunker fuel in a massive population center except in an emergency.
- mattboardman 4y agoThis doesn't really address my comment but rather shifts the topic from power disruptions to quality of energy sources.
- ZeroGravitas 4y agoMaybe we could continue the discussion once there's actually been a power disruption and not just preperation for a yearly peak electricity demand?
- AdamH12113 4y agoI don't know much about California's energy policies, but it's worth noting that California has by far the largest population in the US (~39 million vs. ~29 million for Texas, the next largest), comprising nearly 12% of the US population. It's also the third-largest in terms of area. You'd expect them to have more problems than a state with a tenth of the population regardless of policy. Other large states have also had power problems. Texas (where I live) nearly had to shut down its entire grid due to a hard freeze last year and we've been getting regular requests from the state's grid management organization to limit power consumption on hot days. But our climate change problems tend more towards droughts and hurricanes, which don't affect the statewide power grid very much.
- mattboardman 4y agoI posted a reply to another comment below, but I'm curious how the population difference impacts power generation. Is power more expensive to produce or supply based on your population? Does the power infrastructure not scale effectively to the demand? Nebraska having 2 million people while also requiring a wide land coverage seems like a harder problem to solve. You can't plop a power plant down for a small town easily and if you move the energy across a long distance you now have to cover the cost of servicing the infrastructure for a small population. If anything, shouldn't overhead be cheaper the higher the population density? I'm genuinely curious since this isn't my area of expertise.
- AdamH12113 4y agoI'm only an electronics engineer, so I'm afraid I can't give you a good answer on that. Generation might be cheaper at scale, but I don't think distribution necessarily is. I don't have time to do a lot of research, but I did find some interesting differences between California and Nebraska: * California imports about 25-30% of its electricity while Nebraska exports over 15%[1]. * California produces about 5 times as much electricity as Nebraska[2], with about 8 times the peak generating capacity[3][4]. * All of Nebraska's electric utilities are publicly owned[3]. * California relies more on hydroelectric power, which is more vulnerable to climate change[5]. [1] https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=46156 https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=46156 [2] https://www.eia.gov/state/rankings/?sid=US#/series/51 https://www.eia.gov/state/rankings/?sid=US#/series/51 [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_power_stations_in_Nebraska https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_power_stations_in_Nebr... [4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_power_stations_in_California https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_power_stations_in_Cali... [5] https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/national/power-plants/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/national/power-plant...
- pm90 4y agoAgreed. The heat wave and incredibly low water levels in reservoirs were not something that had been anticipated or planned for.
- edmcnulty101 4y ago"The failures means it's working!" This seems to be a repeating talking point in regards to a number of issues these days. Which is unusual to me as this is could also be a way to justify poor policy.
- pm90 4y agoI think this isn’t a very helpful perspective. Yes you can be mad, yell and blame or whatever. But if policymakers are transparent about incidents and root causes and follow up on failures, thats the culture I would prefer rather than getting mad and firing/scapegoating people.
- xboxnolifes 4y agoThe point is that there hasn't been a failure. The fact that there is a response and planning happening before a grid failure noticably affecting people suggests the policies and plans are working.
- macksd 4y agoCapacity has been flat for the last decade and California has had a reputation for an unreliable power grid as long as I've followed US news. You're dreaming, mate.