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Beyond sea level rise, how can you prepare for something unpredictable? From what I've read things will get more extreme. So potentially more rain, but potent
by refurb 4y ago
Beyond sea level rise, how can you prepare for something unpredictable?
From what I've read things will get more extreme. So potentially more rain, but potentially droughts. Potentially higher temperatures, but potentially lower ones as well.
So how do you avoid spending money to prepare for something that may not happen - in fact, the opposite might happen? Spend billions on new flood control, then faced with a decade long drought you didn't prepare for. There isn't enough money to prepare for every possible scenario.
And how do you distinguish being prepared for natural disasters (which happen regardless of climate change) from preparing specifically for climate change?
I mean California making sure they have enough water is just table stakes. Even without climate change they should be doing that (knowing it's naturally a near-desert environment in the Central Valley).
- xupybd 4y ago> Beyond sea level rise, how can you prepare for something unpredictable? They're not really. They're just using this as a selling point on many social changes they're making in favor of equity.
- defrost 4y ago> So how do you avoid spending money to prepare for something that may not happen It is certain that more energy, originally from the sun, will be captured and held out the earth | sea lower atmosphere layers due to the increased insulation effects of increasing greenhouse gases. This will have significant impact on the global climate cells about the planet, precisely where what will happen is difficult to predict, the general pattern of the kinds of things not so much. What we can do is reduce the insulating increase by putting less up there, capturing more, etc. What we can also do is prepare for change, eg here we have been increasing the divrsity of seed varieties for wheat | canola | barley | etc across the board, building a database of tested seeds against temp and humidity variation.
- Daishiman 4y agoIt's not unpredictable. The IPCC reports, as well as the climatology departments of most universities around the world, have a fairly detailed understanding of how different areas will be affected. Sea level rise covers all coastal cities; increased severity of hurricanes, increased severity of droughts and rains, permafrost melting, etc.
- squidsoup 4y agoAn Analysis of the Potential for the Formation of ‘Nodes of Persisting Complexity’ has some analysis of which parts of the world are likely to continue to support civilisation. https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/15/8161/htm https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/15/8161/htm
- refurb 4y agoThis isn’t true. Beyond sea level the IPCC report can’t accurately predict the impact of climate change on NZ. That's the difference between "weather" and "climate".
- peterashford 4y agothere are a lot of scientists who submitted to IPCC who appear to disagree
- Daishiman 4y agoAbsolutely false. There are well-understood climate patterns that affect the hydrology and temperatures and for most agriculturally productive places in the world climate scientists have already made predictions for those.