Yeah this stuff seems so basic right? If you're trying to be as right as possible: - decide what success and failure are - record your successes and failures

Yeah this stuff seems so basic right? If you're trying to be as right as possible: - decide what success and failure are - record your successes and failures - adjust your priors based on your failures I have a "what have you changed your mind about" interview question I use on both sides of the table that's really illuminating. The specifics aren't important, but what I'm looking for are the above: what were you aiming for, what did you get instead, how did that experience change you. Hopefully the other party has had lots of these and they've built up an immune system against the various things that caused them to fail, stuff like "test hypotheses", "there is no silver bullet", "everything is a tradeoff" and so on.