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As the Spartans famously said: "If". Ukraine gets massive support from the club of the richest countries on the Earth, and, unlike Germany or France, the Anglo

As the Spartans famously said: "If". Ukraine gets massive support from the club of the richest countries on the Earth, and, unlike Germany or France, the Anglo-Saxon behemoths seem to be committed in full. So is Poland, the necessary logistics hub for supplies. Russia is alone, even Iran refused to sell their drones to them. The full impact of this economic and military imbalance cannot be seen yet. The Ukrainian army is in midst of switching their entire weaponry from the old Soviet models to the new Western ones. This is a grueling logistical task even in peace, much more so in war. But with each new type of equipment mastered (HIMARS, M-777, Panzerhaubitze 2000, in the future possibly Western tanks and jets), the total capability edge of the UAF over their Russian counterparts grows. You can already see how the Russian offensive momentum has evaporated. They only managed to take very modest pieces of land over the last month or so, and basically none in July.

stewx 4y ago
> even Iran refused to sell their drones to them "White House says Iran is preparing to supply Russia with weapons-capable drones" https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/11/politics/iran-russia-weapons-capable-drones/index.html https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/11/politics/iran-russia-weapons-...
- inglor_cz 4y ago
  They deny this. I suspect we will know soon. If they really go against their word, drones are hard to hide. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/iran-says-refused-supply-drones-121200139.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/iran-says-refused-supply-dron...
qaq 4y ago
HIMARS is a very formidable addition to the arsenal, but in general quantities supplied are extremely modest to really turn the tide. Hopefully the deliveries will step up.
- inglor_cz 4y ago
  They are enough to f*ck up Russian logistics behind the lines. Without a massive supply of shells from the rear to the guns themselves, the Russian artillery is incapable of executing their beloved "bomb everything into pieces" WWI-style doctrine. And the Ukrainians have destroyed an untold number of Russian ammo dumps in the last weeks. Some of the explosions have been truly spectacular. This isn't something you can easily remedy. Any new ammo dump in range will be quickly spotted by either American spy satellites or local Ukrainian spies that are probably still active in Donbass - and get blasted to hell. HIMARS is not enough to reconquer the lost territories, true. But it is enough to give Russians a forced operational pause.
  - narrator 4y ago
    The thing that the west is unwilling to do is give the Ukrainians cruise missiles. The Russians have lots and lots of these in the form of Kalibr and Iskander missiles that they launch from ships and mobile launchers and it seems to be making all the difference.
    - inglor_cz 4y ago
      What difference? They hit random civilian targets far behind the frontline. This makes people angry, but does not significantly contribute to attrition of the Ukrainian military. The recent cruise missile hits in Ukrainian cities haven't helped the Russians acquire even a square inch of new territory.
      - TheLoafOfBread 4y ago
        I don't understand this terror tactic either. * It will only more cement Ukrainians against them * It will have no negative influence on Ukrainian military nor aviation. * Ukraine will use those attacks in their own propaganda to get more weapons and money from the West. So those attacks are a waste of military assets with marginally negative gain. Who in Russian leadership is planning those dumb attacks?
SantiagoElf 4y ago
You mean, how Russia technically controls 20-25% of Ukraine's territory ? Do you see what those sanctions against Russian cheap energy are doing in Europe: - Estonia Goverment fell - Bulgaria Goverment fell - UK Goverment fell - Italy's PM resigned It's not even August. Do you know what will happen when colder months hit ? :)
- tomjen3 4y ago
  The UK government fell because Boris was a lying fool to the wrong people. Be careful not to assume that because something big happened it must be the cause of something else.
  - mrguyorama 4y ago
    Specifically, I would say Boris's support for Ukraine is one of the only non-controversial things he has done as prime minister.
    - soco 4y ago
      And it's the only thing he could be regretted for (depending on who's gonna take his place)
- inglor_cz 4y ago
  "UK Goverment fell" - it didn't, only the PM did. Johnson appointed a sexual predator to be the Chief Whip of the Tory faction in the Parliament and it was one mistake too many. It has nothing to do with sanctions against Russia. The government will continue under a new PM. "Bulgaria Goverment fell" - Bulgaria has had by now four(?) early elections in a row, which predate the war in Ukraine. The Bulgarian political situation is an internal mess. "Italy's PM resigned" - Italy has had 69 governments since WWII, nothing unusual there. "Estonia Goverment fell" - Estonia is very anti-Russian in practice. Their next government is likely to be formed by the very same PM. The EU has some 30 countries. Unlike Russia or odd exceptions like Merkel, their leaders come and go fairly frequently. Even 8 governmental changes in a year wouldn't be particularly strange in a club of 30 democracies.
norwalkbear 4y ago
It seems overall Ukraine isnt doing as well as the constant media spin says they are. TikTok is full of videos show uk guys running from conscription. I know a whole team of developers who fled to Poland early.I think they lost the morale war, and it's just a matter of time until Nato intervenes directly to start Ww3
- inglor_cz 4y ago
  I don't doubt that some of their guys dodged conscription. In every war, someone does. But "losing the morale war" would probably manifest itself in localized frontline collapses, and this does not seem to be happening. The recent retreat in Luhansk oblast wasn't a rout, and other sections of the frontline are barely moving.
- _kbh_ 4y ago
  There’s also plenty of evidence that says that Russia isn’t doing so well, they have 100s of people in some battalions refusing to fight (likely because all their friends turned back up home dead). There’s tonnes of HIMARS strikes taking out command and control points of Russias behind the front line. The VDV (Russian paratroopers) and it’s leader ship have been decimated by this war.

stewx 4y ago

> even Iran refused to sell their drones to them "White House says Iran is preparing to supply Russia with weapons-capable drones" https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/11/politics/iran-russia-weapons-capable-drones/index.html https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/11/politics/iran-russia-weapons-...

inglor_cz 4y ago
They deny this. I suspect we will know soon. If they really go against their word, drones are hard to hide. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/iran-says-refused-supply-drones-121200139.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/iran-says-refused-supply-dron...

qaq 4y ago

HIMARS is a very formidable addition to the arsenal, but in general quantities supplied are extremely modest to really turn the tide. Hopefully the deliveries will step up.

inglor_cz 4y ago
They are enough to f*ck up Russian logistics behind the lines. Without a massive supply of shells from the rear to the guns themselves, the Russian artillery is incapable of executing their beloved "bomb everything into pieces" WWI-style doctrine. And the Ukrainians have destroyed an untold number of Russian ammo dumps in the last weeks. Some of the explosions have been truly spectacular. This isn't something you can easily remedy. Any new ammo dump in range will be quickly spotted by either American spy satellites or local Ukrainian spies that are probably still active in Donbass - and get blasted to hell. HIMARS is not enough to reconquer the lost territories, true. But it is enough to give Russians a forced operational pause.
- narrator 4y ago
  The thing that the west is unwilling to do is give the Ukrainians cruise missiles. The Russians have lots and lots of these in the form of Kalibr and Iskander missiles that they launch from ships and mobile launchers and it seems to be making all the difference.
  - inglor_cz 4y ago
    What difference? They hit random civilian targets far behind the frontline. This makes people angry, but does not significantly contribute to attrition of the Ukrainian military. The recent cruise missile hits in Ukrainian cities haven't helped the Russians acquire even a square inch of new territory.
    - TheLoafOfBread 4y ago
      I don't understand this terror tactic either. * It will only more cement Ukrainians against them * It will have no negative influence on Ukrainian military nor aviation. * Ukraine will use those attacks in their own propaganda to get more weapons and money from the West. So those attacks are a waste of military assets with marginally negative gain. Who in Russian leadership is planning those dumb attacks?

SantiagoElf 4y ago

You mean, how Russia technically controls 20-25% of Ukraine's territory ? Do you see what those sanctions against Russian cheap energy are doing in Europe: - Estonia Goverment fell - Bulgaria Goverment fell - UK Goverment fell - Italy's PM resigned It's not even August. Do you know what will happen when colder months hit ? :)

tomjen3 4y ago
The UK government fell because Boris was a lying fool to the wrong people. Be careful not to assume that because something big happened it must be the cause of something else.
- mrguyorama 4y ago
  Specifically, I would say Boris's support for Ukraine is one of the only non-controversial things he has done as prime minister.
  - soco 4y ago
    And it's the only thing he could be regretted for (depending on who's gonna take his place)
inglor_cz 4y ago
"UK Goverment fell" - it didn't, only the PM did. Johnson appointed a sexual predator to be the Chief Whip of the Tory faction in the Parliament and it was one mistake too many. It has nothing to do with sanctions against Russia. The government will continue under a new PM. "Bulgaria Goverment fell" - Bulgaria has had by now four(?) early elections in a row, which predate the war in Ukraine. The Bulgarian political situation is an internal mess. "Italy's PM resigned" - Italy has had 69 governments since WWII, nothing unusual there. "Estonia Goverment fell" - Estonia is very anti-Russian in practice. Their next government is likely to be formed by the very same PM. The EU has some 30 countries. Unlike Russia or odd exceptions like Merkel, their leaders come and go fairly frequently. Even 8 governmental changes in a year wouldn't be particularly strange in a club of 30 democracies.

norwalkbear 4y ago

It seems overall Ukraine isnt doing as well as the constant media spin says they are. TikTok is full of videos show uk guys running from conscription. I know a whole team of developers who fled to Poland early.I think they lost the morale war, and it's just a matter of time until Nato intervenes directly to start Ww3

inglor_cz 4y ago
I don't doubt that some of their guys dodged conscription. In every war, someone does. But "losing the morale war" would probably manifest itself in localized frontline collapses, and this does not seem to be happening. The recent retreat in Luhansk oblast wasn't a rout, and other sections of the frontline are barely moving.
_kbh_ 4y ago
There’s also plenty of evidence that says that Russia isn’t doing so well, they have 100s of people in some battalions refusing to fight (likely because all their friends turned back up home dead). There’s tonnes of HIMARS strikes taking out command and control points of Russias behind the front line. The VDV (Russian paratroopers) and it’s leader ship have been decimated by this war.