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Many people here on Hacker News are realizing that a significant part of their hard-earned skills are now available to anyone for a few cents of compute time.
by NO-AI 4y ago
Many people here on Hacker News are realizing that a significant part of their hard-earned skills are now available to anyone for a few cents of compute time.
Once these systems scale up to attention over long pieces of program text (instead of just a few thousand tokens) most of software development will be near minimum wage, almost skilled labor.
You didn't mind when taxi drivers became obsolete. "I'm not a taxi driver, so I don't care!" We'll see how you feel when your economic value approaches zero.
- trention 4y agoDo you realize that writing the code is maybe ~25% of what a senior software engineer does?
- codedokode 4y agoThere are many tasks that do not require much intellect. For example, "here is a web store design mockup I have drawn. Generate the code for it. Integrate it with payment and delivery services". Today you need to hire developers, testers and other people. What if such trivial tasks could be performed by a neural network? Another example is phone support. AI is already being used there, for example, in some banks (in Russia) you are first greeted by a robot if you call, and only if it cannot answer your question it will let you talk to the human.
- trention 4y agoYour example is not at all as trivial as you may think when you delve into the details. And if you don't want to delve into details, there is already stuff like shopify.
- bilsbie 4y agoWe’re really in trouble when gpt can do stand ups.
- IshKebab 4y agoI think they're very impressive but they still make obvious mistakes that a human wouldn't. I think it's far more likely that they'll become tools that programmers use to increase their productivity than outright replacing programmers. For the next 10 years at least. Beyond that who knows. If we get strong AI then we have bigger things to worry about than one sector's jobs.