4 ms·

The figure is based on this study, which currently puts it at 241K cases per day: https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data

Izkata 4y ago
Their source links to https://health-study.joinzoe.com/post/covid-incidence-uk https://health-study.joinzoe.com/post/covid-incidence-uk Which says: > According to the latest COVID Symptom Study app figures, there are currently 1,472 daily new cases of COVID in the UK on average over the two weeks up to 04 July 2020 (excluding care homes) [*]. The data suggests no decline from last week (1,445 cases). The latest figures were based on the data from almost 3 million users, 11,639 swab tests done between 21 June to 04 July (a full regional breakdown can be found here). The 241K number is total gibberish. The 7-day average of new cases in the UK topped out at about 214K at the beginning of January, at the top of their Omicron wave, and has been nowhere near that since. It's around 13K right now.
- kgwgk 4y ago
  How is that link relevant? We're not in 2020.
  - Izkata 4y ago
    It's the source for GP's source. Ask them.
    - kgwgk 4y ago
      GP didn’t send a link to that particular outdated section within that site. July 9, 2020 This article has not been updated recently You did. Why? How are your link and quote related to the « 200k+ cases per day in June 2022 » claim? If you don’t know yourself, asking GP won’t help.
      - Izkata 4y ago
        On the page they link to, in the section the 241k came from, is a link that says "More detail on the analysis". It goes to my link.
        kgwgk 4y ago
        I still don't get how that is related to the "The 241K number is total gibberish." statement that follows. Is it because they should have removed the "More detail on the analysis" link to a no-longer-updated analysis and not removing the link invalidates the latest results somehow? Or is there anything in that analysis of the results as of two years ago that discredits also everything that came later?
        Izkata 4y ago
        It's the source they're giving for the number, and there's nothing there that indicates it's valid. From every other source unrelated to that one, the UK's numbers have never been as high as they're claiming. Therefore, it's gibberish.
        kgwgk 4y ago
        From every other source? The "Official estimates of incidence of new PCR-positive cases" published by the Office for National Statistics in the latest release of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey [1] add up to 160k per day in the UK for the week from 28 May to 3 June. The official estimate of people testing positive for COVID-19 has increased strongly since then - almost doubling from 900k for the week 27 May to 2 June to 1740k for the week 11 to 18 June. A 50% increase in the number of daily new infections in three weeks doesn't seem so implausible and when the official estimate of daily new cases for this week gets published it may not be exactly 241k but it won't be much less. Definitely not an order of magnitude less! [1] https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/24june2022 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthan... Edit: by the way, the official estimate of incidence (daily new cases) from the ONS was over 650k for the week 13 to 19 March.
kgwgk 4y ago
Is it? I assume it's based on the official surveys: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/24june2022 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthan...

Izkata 4y ago

Their source links to https://health-study.joinzoe.com/post/covid-incidence-uk https://health-study.joinzoe.com/post/covid-incidence-uk Which says: > According to the latest COVID Symptom Study app figures, there are currently 1,472 daily new cases of COVID in the UK on average over the two weeks up to 04 July 2020 (excluding care homes) [*]. The data suggests no decline from last week (1,445 cases). The latest figures were based on the data from almost 3 million users, 11,639 swab tests done between 21 June to 04 July (a full regional breakdown can be found here). The 241K number is total gibberish. The 7-day average of new cases in the UK topped out at about 214K at the beginning of January, at the top of their Omicron wave, and has been nowhere near that since. It's around 13K right now.

kgwgk 4y ago
How is that link relevant? We're not in 2020.
- Izkata 4y ago
  It's the source for GP's source. Ask them.
  - kgwgk 4y ago
    GP didn’t send a link to that particular outdated section within that site. July 9, 2020 This article has not been updated recently You did. Why? How are your link and quote related to the « 200k+ cases per day in June 2022 » claim? If you don’t know yourself, asking GP won’t help.
    - Izkata 4y ago
      On the page they link to, in the section the 241k came from, is a link that says "More detail on the analysis". It goes to my link.
      - kgwgk 4y ago
        I still don't get how that is related to the "The 241K number is total gibberish." statement that follows. Is it because they should have removed the "More detail on the analysis" link to a no-longer-updated analysis and not removing the link invalidates the latest results somehow? Or is there anything in that analysis of the results as of two years ago that discredits also everything that came later?
        Izkata 4y ago
        It's the source they're giving for the number, and there's nothing there that indicates it's valid. From every other source unrelated to that one, the UK's numbers have never been as high as they're claiming. Therefore, it's gibberish.
        kgwgk 4y ago
        From every other source? The "Official estimates of incidence of new PCR-positive cases" published by the Office for National Statistics in the latest release of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey [1] add up to 160k per day in the UK for the week from 28 May to 3 June. The official estimate of people testing positive for COVID-19 has increased strongly since then - almost doubling from 900k for the week 27 May to 2 June to 1740k for the week 11 to 18 June. A 50% increase in the number of daily new infections in three weeks doesn't seem so implausible and when the official estimate of daily new cases for this week gets published it may not be exactly 241k but it won't be much less. Definitely not an order of magnitude less! [1] https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/24june2022 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthan... Edit: by the way, the official estimate of incidence (daily new cases) from the ONS was over 650k for the week 13 to 19 March.

kgwgk 4y ago

Is it? I assume it's based on the official surveys: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/24june2022 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthan...