4 ms·
> Similarly, fresh water is a limited natural resource, and in the absence of water, human populations do not grow This isn't really true any longer. Desalinat
by marvin 4y ago
> Similarly, fresh water is a limited natural resource, and in the absence of water, human populations do not grow
This isn't really true any longer. Desalinating seawater costs about $1 per 1000 liters. You need a relatively prosperous country to be able to afford that, of course, but an industrialized economy with reasonable levels of corruption is perfectly capable of desalinating enough water to make civilization work.
It's practically tautological that there's limits to population size in a finite world, and that growth cannot be infinite in a finite universe. But I think people often frame this question the wrong way. It's a bit of a straw man.
Economic growth is proportional to the amount of problems solved that humans care about. And the cost of the solution, of course, in terms of human effort. It isn't necessarily proportional to the amount of physical resources consumed or bound. It's a reasonable assumption that there's generally a positive correlation, but the function and coefficients don't have to be linear. That leaves a lot of headroom.
People should rather think about infinite (arbitrary!!) economic growth in terms of what can be done to make the lives of humans better, on average. Even in the Western world, we are so far away from the hedonistic limits that it's ridiculous. It's trivial to imagine a world with no illness, perfect health, indefinite lifespan, very high freedom and low repression, no seriously bothersome and mandatory chores for anyone and so on. What can be done to get closer to such a world? So much.
The limit isn't defined by how polluting our cars can be, or how much beef we're able to produce. Many of these arguments collapse into the completely unimaginative.
- photochemsyn 4y ago"Desalinating seawater costs about $1 per 1000 liters..." Ah... so if I'm in the middle of the Mojave Desert, and have no water, but I do have a dollar in my pocket, someone will deliver me 1000 liters of water, sourced from desalination of Pacific Ocean water? How much energy will that take?
- marvin 4y agoI imagine that if civilization reaches a developmental limit in access to natural fresh water, migration will happen to somewhat developed coastal areas rather than the Mojave Desert.
- chii 4y ago$1 per 1000L figure isn't for an individual, delivered anywhere. It's the approximate cost, in aggregate, for supplying a city's worth of water using desal, after having made the infrastructure and such. If solar and other renewable energies could be scaled higher, this cost might be even lower.
- heymijo 4y agoAre the externalities of desalinating seawater priced into that cost? When it comes to resources, humanity doesn't have much a track record of doing so.