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I don’t think that interpretation of the metaphor is intended. Just that something good can happen many times and be followed unexpectedly and suddenly by some

• chii 4y ago
  And that's why i said the analogy is not illustrative of anything - because you dont know the future at all, and there's no precedent for that bad future. You don't prepare for such a future at the cost of the current time. If you switched the turkey to a pet cat, would the analogy still make sense?