4 ms·

Has something changed between China and Taiwan? Why do you think an invasion has become more likely?

by zardo 5y ago

CyanBird 5y ago
It is just that Anglo media has been itching for a new enemy, so there has been more speculative articles and reporting on that topic these last couple years and Angloworld public opinion has shifted alongside it Sad state of affairs, but not much that can be done about it
- captainredbeard 5y ago
  Read the SCMP, it’s not Anglo media…
- PlanckMeasure80 5y ago
  Do you think it’s related to Hong Kong or Xinjiang? Or even that Xi himself is ramping up tensions? >No one should underestimate the Chinese people's staunch determination, firm will, and strong ability to defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity," Xi said. "The historical task of the complete reunification of the motherland must be fulfilled, and will definitely be fulfilled." >He struck a slightly softer tone than in July, his last major speech mentioning Taiwan, in which he vowed to "smash" any attempts at formal independence. In 2019, he directly threatened to use force to bring the island under Beijing's control. >China's air force mounted four straight days of incursions into Taiwan's air defence identification zone from Oct. 1, involving close to 150 aircraft, though those missions have since ended. Xi made no mention of those flights. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-xi-says-reunification-with-taiwan-must-will-be-realised-2021-10-09/ https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-xi-says-reunifica...
  - zardo 5y ago
    Isn't that all pretty much inline with China/Taiwan relations since the end of the civil war?
- fakeslimshady 5y ago
philwelch 5y ago
China is engaging in a massive military buildup, especially in terms of its naval and amphibious forces.
- charlieyu1 5y ago
  War is quite unlikely now, given how Russia screwed up in Ukraine.
  - philwelch 5y ago
    I don’t see how the two are in any way related to one another. The fact remains that China is building up not only the size of their navy but also their shipbuilding capacity.
  - wpdev_63 5y ago
    Ukraine is very different from Taiwan. One is larger than the size of texas and landlocked and the other is an island the size of rhode island. I agree with you in that china is less likely to invade but due to economic reasons.
    - philwelch 5y ago
      Texas is actually slightly larger than Ukraine. Ukraine isn’t landlocked, either; even if you don’t count the Crimea, Ukraine still has a coast on the Black Sea and the major port city of Odessa. Mariupol is another port city that Russia has been trying to fully capture for most of the war now. China is also very different from Russia. China’s economy is around the size of the US economy while Russia’s economy is closer to the size of Italy. They have more domestic industrial capacity than any country in the world, a billion people, and a remarkable level of state capacity. The main similarity between the two countries—that they each have an aging dictator who has spent the past years consolidating power and who is prone to commanding some ill-advised course of action due to the inability of anyone to push back—only makes it more likely for an invasion to occur.

Has something changed between China and Taiwan? Why do you think an invasion has become more likely?

by zardo 5y ago

Has something changed between China and Taiwan? Why do you think an invasion has become more likely?

It is just that Anglo media has been itching for a new enemy, so there has been more speculative articles and reporting on that topic these last couple years and Angloworld public opinion has shifted alongside it Sad state of affairs, but not much that can be done about it

captainredbeard 5y ago
Read the SCMP, it’s not Anglo media…
PlanckMeasure80 5y ago
Do you think it’s related to Hong Kong or Xinjiang? Or even that Xi himself is ramping up tensions? >No one should underestimate the Chinese people's staunch determination, firm will, and strong ability to defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity," Xi said. "The historical task of the complete reunification of the motherland must be fulfilled, and will definitely be fulfilled." >He struck a slightly softer tone than in July, his last major speech mentioning Taiwan, in which he vowed to "smash" any attempts at formal independence. In 2019, he directly threatened to use force to bring the island under Beijing's control. >China's air force mounted four straight days of incursions into Taiwan's air defence identification zone from Oct. 1, involving close to 150 aircraft, though those missions have since ended. Xi made no mention of those flights. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-xi-says-reunification-with-taiwan-must-will-be-realised-2021-10-09/ https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-xi-says-reunifica...
- zardo 5y ago
  Isn't that all pretty much inline with China/Taiwan relations since the end of the civil war?
fakeslimshady 5y ago

philwelch 5y ago

China is engaging in a massive military buildup, especially in terms of its naval and amphibious forces.

charlieyu1 5y ago
War is quite unlikely now, given how Russia screwed up in Ukraine.
- philwelch 5y ago
  I don’t see how the two are in any way related to one another. The fact remains that China is building up not only the size of their navy but also their shipbuilding capacity.
- wpdev_63 5y ago
  Ukraine is very different from Taiwan. One is larger than the size of texas and landlocked and the other is an island the size of rhode island. I agree with you in that china is less likely to invade but due to economic reasons.
  - philwelch 5y ago
    Texas is actually slightly larger than Ukraine. Ukraine isn’t landlocked, either; even if you don’t count the Crimea, Ukraine still has a coast on the Black Sea and the major port city of Odessa. Mariupol is another port city that Russia has been trying to fully capture for most of the war now. China is also very different from Russia. China’s economy is around the size of the US economy while Russia’s economy is closer to the size of Italy. They have more domestic industrial capacity than any country in the world, a billion people, and a remarkable level of state capacity. The main similarity between the two countries—that they each have an aging dictator who has spent the past years consolidating power and who is prone to commanding some ill-advised course of action due to the inability of anyone to push back—only makes it more likely for an invasion to occur.