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I agree that the concept of "buying time" has merit. One good way to apply that would be a cap-and-trade system, with a gradually shrinking cap. Trading offsets
by snewman 5y ago
I agree that the concept of "buying time" has merit. One good way to apply that would be a cap-and-trade system, with a gradually shrinking cap. Trading offsets within a cap-and-trade system avoids the criticisms I'm making.
But I see a lot of companies trumpeting use of offsets in the context of their own individual plan to achieve reduced or zero emissions. This is where the problems come in:
1. It is often presented as a a complete solution, rather than a helpful interim step. A company announces plans to offset their emissions, and then declares victory. But it is only a half victory; between the offset seller and the offset purchaser, only half of the total emissions have been addressed.
2. It removes the incentive to start developing solutions for the more difficult categories of emissions. It will take time to decarbonize, say, steel manufacturing. But we need to start developing pilot projects today. If the steel manufacturers can say "we're addressing climate change, we've purchased offsets", then no one is paying for those pilot projects.
I shared some more thoughts about this in an older post: https://climateer.substack.com/p/focus-on-2050 https://climateer.substack.com/p/focus-on-2050.
- chii 5y ago> no one is paying for those pilot projects. i would assume offsets have to be purchased continuously - that is, you cannot purchase an offset once and be done with it forever. I also assume that there's limited offsets that could be purchased, and it's not growing unless money is put into making more offsets possible (e.g., enlarging a rain forest, not merely protecting it). This means every year, there would be more competition to purchase offsets from all participants, raising the price of offset. Eventually, the price would be high enough that it's more profitable just save emissions yourself - e.g, those pilot projects. But if you predict this, you would start doing those pilot projects sooner, and beat your competition! So why isn't this true today? The assumptions i made must be wrong - so which assumption is wrong?