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In 2019, 32 AI experts participated in a survey on AGI timing: 45% of respondents predict a date before 2060 34% of all participants predicted a date
by lalaithion 5y ago
In 2019, 32 AI experts participated in a survey on AGI timing:
45% of respondents predict a date before 2060
34% of all participants predicted a date after 2060
21% of participants predicted that singularity will never occur.
https://research.aimultiple.com/artificial-general-intelligence-singularity-timing/ https://research.aimultiple.com/artificial-general-intellige...
- bsenftner 5y agoThat 21% at the bottom are the comprehensively smart and experienced ones, the middle 34% simply need more experience. The 45% predicting an early date are like the newly rich, and do not realize their limits yet.