4 ms·
> only improved the situation from 56% to 50% But isn't that millions of fewer false positive results over 10 years? Assumptions: * US Women: ~150e6 * Fract
by labcomputer 5y ago
> only improved the situation from 56% to 50%
But isn't that millions of fewer false positive results over 10 years?
Assumptions:
* US Women: ~150e6
* Fraction getting annual mamograms: ~1/3 (life expectancy of 80yrs, and mamograms during 30 of those years, minus some with poor access to health care)
* Reduction in cumulative FP rate over 10 year period: 6%
150e6 x 0.33 * 0.06 = ~3e6 fewer false positive results over a 10 year period. That seems like a significant effect size to me.
- Dylan16807 5y agoIt's significant but it's also pathetic. The false positive rate is really high.