I don’t know how much that will help here. Most of the time that worked, the wars were at the end of a long supply chain (see Afghanistan for USSR, Vietnam for

I don’t know how much that will help here. Most of the time that worked, the wars were at the end of a long supply chain (see Afghanistan for USSR, Vietnam for USA, Afghanistan and Iraq for USA) and were not felt to be vital (see protests over Vietnam). In Ukraine, the war is next door to Russia and easily supplied. In addition, whatever it means to the Russian people, Putin has a lot staked personally on this war. In addition, Russia will be operating with a lot less restrictive rules of engagement (the invasion itself is a war crime, so adding other war crimes on top of it really is t going to change a whole lot of opinion for them). Rather I predict this will be like the Boer War or the US war in the Philippines where despite spirited local defenses, the resistance is ground down.