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NATO can easily deny Russia using first strike nuclear attack. Without centralised command issuing computerised targeting info, it will be for missile officers
by baybal2 5y ago
NATO can easily deny Russia using first strike nuclear attack.
Without centralised command issuing computerised targeting info, it will be for missile officers own initiative to launch them, fully knowing from what they learned in the military academy that an uncoordinated launch will likely be futile.
USA missile defences in Arctic, and North Pacific can guarantee intercept a dozen uncoordinated launches, if what Raytheon says is true.
- jacquesm 5y ago> NATO can easily deny Russia using first strike nuclear attack. This is very dangerous nonsense.
- deleted 5y ago[deleted]
- nradov 5y agoRaytheon has never guaranteed anything. GMD tests have been very limited with many failures. And I don't mean that as a criticism of Raytheon or the other defense contractors involved; ballistic missile defense is extremely hard and getting it working at all was an amazing technical accomplishment.
- adamsmith143 5y ago>USA missile defences in Arctic, and North Pacific can guarantee intercept a dozen uncoordinated launches, if what Raytheon says is true. Russia has >6000 Nukes. If most were launched and missile defense systems have a 99% success rate that is still 10s of Nuclear strikes on the US Mainland. This would be the end of the US and likely irradiates large parts of North America...
- kenjackson 5y agoDo all 6000 nukes have capability to be delivered to the US mainland?
- jacquesm 5y agoAbout 25% of that, so 1500 give or take. This is subject to signed treaties, what those are still worth I don't know.
- baybal2 5y ago80 R29 of which half of on subs at port call 32 Bulavas on 2 Yasens in Pacific 46 R36, 6 with 20MT warheads, 40 with 10 1MT MIRV. 406 warheads total. 36 UR100 162 Topols The Russian airforce doesn't have serious nukes, the land force don't have megaton scale weapons either. R36, and UR100 in silos are the only genuine first strike option, everything else is a retaliation weapon. Only a coordinated first strike gives Russia a chance on victory, it's impossible with military C3 beheaded. The surviving military officers in bunkers in far reaches of the country would know that each of them don't have enough forces under their command to continue the war.
- jacquesm 5y agoWarheads != delivery vehicles, and hasn't been for a long time (MIRV). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_independently_targetable_reentry_vehicle https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_independently_targeta... > Only a coordinated first strike gives Russia a chance on victory The idea that a nuclear war can be won died a while ago too.
- adamsmith143 5y agoThis all seems a rather pointless argument. I don't want to live in a country that is hit by 5, 10 or 50 Nuclear Strikes. Period.
- jacquesm 5y agoWhich is the only sensible stance to take. Unfortunately that requires rational actors.