Unfortunately, Imperial's predictions for the UK government have become politicised, so it can be difficult to discuss them rationally. I'd be pretty concerned

Unfortunately, Imperial's predictions for the UK government have become politicised, so it can be difficult to discuss them rationally. I'd be pretty concerned at the really small date range for this study, but otherwise it looks reasonable. The corrections of hazard ratios is the part that might, if you needed to, be hiding some trickery.