5 ms·
Silver lining: The more audacious the CCP gets, the faster their rule will collapse.
by gred 5y ago
Silver lining: The more audacious the CCP gets, the faster their rule will collapse.
- chitowneats 5y agoWishful thinking. Nothing guarantees that.
- gred 5y agoOptimistic, sure. But historical examples abound.
- bostonsre 5y agoI wish but I think they are well enough entrenched so that only a major economic collapse could threaten their rule.
- BurningFrog 5y agoThen again, the CCP under Mao was a lot worse, without any hint of collapse.
- addicted 5y agoPeople’s expectations were also lower. And there wasn’t any incentive for other countries to be involved. Both those factors have changed. The Chinese people are not gonna tolerate an extended reduction in their quality of life. Anything short of rapid quality of life growth may be catastrophic for the people in power. And on the other side, other countries have a lot of incentive to further make things difficult for China and it’s leadership.
- 88913527 5y agoThe tang ping moment to some degree validates that quality of life has at least plateaued for many, or that the effort involved to further improve QOL isn't worth it. However, that problem doesn't seem unique to China, and other countries are starting at a higher baseline standard of living.
- schuke 5y agoFast for history, but not for people. Just look at North Korea. They've still got plenty of runway for more audacity. For CCP it's like infinity ahead.
- suifbwish 5y agoWithout the CCP it seems rather unlikely North Korea would continue to exist in its current way for long. The only remaining factor standing in the way of their fall then would be western nations not wishing to accept the sudden flood of North Korean refugees that would immediately emigrate from the country when they are no longer held there.
- eloisius 5y agoUnlike North Korea, China doesn't have a China to prop them up as a buffer state.
- deleted 5y ago[deleted]
- tjpnz 5y agoChina's already sitting on a ticking time bomb thanks to the one child policy. I'm willing to bet that that's equally likely to set about a collapse.
- Dolores12 5y agoThat's not the case anymore. From [0] >As recently as 31 May 2021, China's government has relaxed restrictions even more allowing women up to three children. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-child_policy#Abolition https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-child_policy#Abolition
- mrkstu 5y agoThat's just closing the barn doors after the horses have left. Much too little, much too late.
- manigandham 5y agoThe policy has changed but generations of population demographics haven't.
- lovecg 5y agoToo little too late. The inverted demographic pyramid and the huge skewed gender ratio are baked in at this point.
- gred 5y agoYeah, China's currently sitting at 1.3 children born per woman -- just like Italy or Spain, which are often cited as the EU "crisis" numbers. This number is even worse than it appears though, since there are so many more men than women to begin with, thanks to the history of sex-selective abortion in the country. 12 million Chinese women were never born because their parents wanted a son instead of a daughter, and that's an extra 1.3 x 12 = 16 million children that will be missing from the next generation. China's population is actually predicted to start shrinking in about 5 years.
- anaganisk 5y agoA bit of a reality check : For majority of general Chinese population, Xi Jinping is a great leader. I don’t think thats gonna happen anytime soon.