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It's possible to be more cynical about this, but yet to come to a more optimistic conclusion. If the world's great military powers publicly swear off "killer d
by dmurray 5y ago
It's possible to be more cynical about this, but yet to come to a more optimistic conclusion.
If the world's great military powers publicly swear off "killer drones" (let's assume we can meaningfully define such a thing), then they will continue to develop them in secret, but they won't use them in every little border skirmish: every Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, or Crimea. They'll keep them for the big game.
This has two good effects (assuming further development of killer drones is bad). Firstly, those of us unfortunate enough to be caught up in the horrendous bloody conflicts I callously described as "border skirmishes" won't additionally suffer from killer drone attacks. Secondly, development of the drones and the military doctrine surrounding them will be stymied: you can do a lot in the lab but any technology develops so much faster with the feedback loop that comes from using it in anger.
Moreover, if there's a big war we're all screwed anyway. If that's your focus, you need to argue that drone availablity makes a big war more likely
I'm not convinced that it does - making war cheap makes small war more likely, but all the decision makers know the cost of a big war.
Edit: compare to anti-personnel landmines, or chemical weapons. Both of those see less use because of weapons bans. You might say no, they see less use because the great military powers no longer need them - but you're missing a step. The great powers no longer need them, they decry them as inhumane, they sign bans, and then (almost) everyone stops using them.
- PontifexMinimus 5y ago> The great powers no longer need them, they decry them as inhumane, they sign bans, and then (almost) everyone stops using them. See for example Bret Devereux: https://acoup.blog/2020/03/20/collections-why-dont-we-use-chemical-weapons-anymore/ https://acoup.blog/2020/03/20/collections-why-dont-we-use-ch...
- User23 5y agoKill-bots change the moral calculus too. As an example, it's one thing to rush a cop on the assumption that human cop won't just gun you down. It's another to rush a programmed kill-bot. The latter case is obviously just suicide, which is morally on the person committing it, not the tool they use to do it. I'm well aware there are many different ways besides the above one could argue it, but my key point is that automatons change the moral calculus, no matter what other premises you accept.
- sitkack 5y agoI think we need an outright ban, but I also understand how workable this strategy is. Drones have the power to make WWI look like a football match. They could already be in larger use than people realize, it isn't like one would hear about it. There would be nothing to report.