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It seems like kids and nerds are the first to discover new trends. See what kids are into now, and adults will catch on in a decade (e.g. Roblox in 2006, Minecr
by byoung2 5y ago
It seems like kids and nerds are the first to discover new trends. See what kids are into now, and adults will catch on in a decade (e.g. Roblox in 2006, Minecraft in 2011) and just now adults are discovering the metaverse.
Also nerds...I was using Zoom other video calling apps (e.g. Kik and Fring) for years before the rest of the world caught on in 2020. Bitcoin is a dozen years old and we still haven't found that killer app for crypto. Maybe 5 or 10 years from now grandparents will be using it. I had voice controlled home automation in 1999 with Homeseer and X10, 16 years before Alexa. It's getting more mainstream now, maybe in 20 years it will be the rule, not the exception.
Paul Graham said it in one of his essays that you can imagine what the future will be like and then fill in the gaps with technology that will make it happen...picture most cars are electric and self driving 30 years from now. Most lights and appliances either think for themselves or have voice control. What will change between now and then to make that future possible? If most cars are going to be electric, most gas stations might convert to charging or hydrogen stations (can you build a business that facilitates that?). If cars drive themselves, what do they do when they are not driving people around? Maybe ownership isn't as important, and there will be more car (and other vehicle) sharing.
If every light switch and appliance is smart and needs to communicate, what infrastructure needs to exist in every house? (Can you start a company that installs mesh networks or smart hubs in houses?). If crypto is a major way to pay, will there be more banks? Fewer?
If more work becomes remote and some jobs disappear (e.g. drivers, cashiers, restaurant hosts/waiters), will people migrate away from cities? What will need to happen to support that?
- anthk 5y ago>Also nerds...I was using Zoom other video calling apps (e.g. Kik and Fring) for years before the rest of the world caught on in 2020. You are like 15 years late with MSN/Jabber, and far before, people even used Netmeeting/Ekiga-Gnome Netmeeting over SIP/VoIP.
- byoung2 5y agoKik and Fring were Android apps I used in 2009. I doubt many were using video calling on smartphones before that.
- joezydeco 5y agoSome of us were messing with QuickCams and CU-SeeMe in the mid-90s. Maybe the lesson is "what cool thing is interesting but isn't quite working today because the technology hasn't caught up yet?"
- anthk 5y agoEh, I am sure most of the teens were making video calls just fine even over MSN with aMSN and Kopete. Also, I did videocalls with Ekiga with my GF perfectly back in the day. Not the best quality, but it worked.
- Graffur 5y ago> adults are discovering the metaverse wait, who has been in the metaverse already? Can they tell the rest of us what it is?
- quickthrower2 5y agoYou made me think: 3d printing. At the moment it is very fiddly for hobbyists but eventually it will be way more easy and with better materials. The idea of 3d printing things you’d normally buy may not be so crazy. Or maybe an amazon warehouse will 3d print and deliver as if it were any other package.