4 ms·
>Plenty of pandemics have come and gone Honest question, how does this one go away on the timescale of a few years to a decade (or, worst case in what truly in
by BbzzbB 5y ago
>Plenty of pandemics have come and gone
Honest question, how does this one go away on the timescale of a few years to a decade (or, worst case in what truly interests us, a generation)? Couldn't seem to find an answer on pubmed or scholar when I looked, I'm jabbed and have been mindful this whole time but my logic tells me that is not happening. We'd have to get it's R0 low enough that it disappears before mutating a variant that escapes immunity (if that is even necessary given the likelihood of impermanent immunity, at least partial). Is that possible barring a new type of vaccine that entirely prevents infection and reinfection for which we'd have to get full planetary coverage of in time?
- nradov 5y agoSARS-CoV-2 will never disappear. While the vaccines are pretty good at preventing deaths they don't reliably prevent infection or transmission. Even if we had more effective vaccines, the virus stll spreads and mutates in other animal species. There is no real risk that a new variant will completely evade immunity from previous infections. Nothing is 100%. Over the long run it will probably play out similar to the previous coronavirus pandemic. Fortunately this time we have vaccines and other treatments which can prevent most deaths. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7252012/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7252012/