3 ms·
Yeah… all hypotheses are “completely plausible” until they’re not. Plausibility is a starting point, not an answer.
by seventytwo 5y ago
Yeah… all hypotheses are “completely plausible” until they’re not.
Plausibility is a starting point, not an answer.
- dekhn 5y agono, the set of all hypotheses taken together form a distribution (determined by the prior probability). For example, if you proposed that space aliens delivered COVID to us, I would say that is lower probability than any lab leak because we have zero evidence for space aliens, and it's certainly not required to explain anything about COVID that we've observed.
- seventytwo 5y agoEntirely pedantic and missing my point.