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Yeah, I think this past decade people really conflated the deep learning breakthroughs with imminent actual AI. In reality what was invented here was advanced p
by uejfiweun 5y ago
Yeah, I think this past decade people really conflated the deep learning breakthroughs with imminent actual AI. In reality what was invented here was advanced pattern recognition, not anything close to actual reasoning.
I don't predict anything good in the economy once people realize this. A lot of "AI" projects out there seem to me like they will eventually require some reasoning that is impossible to implement.
Perhaps this new AI winter will cause a crash, and the powers will use their newfound pattern recognition tools to make sure things don't get out of hand.
- perl4ever 5y agoMy perception is that AGI may be quite possible eventually, but pattern recognition is so powerful that it may make the question moot. Like, a machine that can move like a pack animal (e.g. Boston Dynamics) took, what, well over a hundred years longer than automobiles and trains?
- Breza 5y agoThere are still tons of places where even modest deep learning could have a huge impact. The focus in industry seems to be moving to deployment.
- machiaweliczny 5y agoI have seen some effort to create reasoning with deep learning. Wonder if it's any good. AFAIK the idea is to bet what is causing changes modify it weight and see if you get better results. This way network learns it's dependencies explicitly and can kinda "reason". Anyone in the field could confirm?
- nradov 5y agoEven if AI funding drops to zero that wouldn't cause the real economy to crash. The dollar amounts are tiny in relative terms.