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There is mostly a housing crisis, with homelessness downstream of housing. I originally left this comment a few months ago, but: CA especially has been underbu
by jseliger 5y ago
There is mostly a housing crisis, with homelessness downstream of housing.
I originally left this comment a few months ago, but: CA especially has been underbuilding housing for close to 50 years (https://techcrunch.com/2014/04/14/sf-housing/ https://techcrunch.com/2014/04/14/sf-housing/) and now has a severe housing shortage, to the point where a parodic response, like "California will try absolutely anything to reduce homelessness, except build more housing" (https://www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/i-will-do-anything-to-end-homelessness-except-build-more-homes https://www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/i-will-do-anything-to-en...) is the only reasonable one.
I've worked on Prop HHH and other proposals designed to reduce homelessness in California: https://seliger.com/2017/08/30/l-digs-hole-slowly-economics-fills-back-proposition-hhh-facilities-program/ https://seliger.com/2017/08/30/l-digs-hole-slowly-economics-..., but none of them work, or can work, without making housing easier to build.
Before someone mentions "mental illness" and "drugs" and other contributors to homelessness, yes those are real factors: that said, the lower the cost of housing, the easier it is for someone on the margin of being housed or being homeless to stay housed. The lower the cost, the easier it is for family, SSDI, Section 8, and other income supports to keep a person housed. As the cost of housing goes up, the number of people who fall from the margins of "housed" to "homeless" goes concomitantly up. So yes, mental illness and drug abuse are factors, but they're factors exacerbated by housing costs, and they're really red herrings relative to overall housing costs.
The homelessness problem is intractable without zoning reform, and the removal of barriers to new housing, whether those barriers are height maximums, parking space minimums, or "neighborhood input" or "community input," both of which are functionally barriers to building anything, anywhere.
Homelessness is mostly a housing problem: https://www.slowboring.com/p/homelessness-housing https://www.slowboring.com/p/homelessness-housing. We can and should remove barriers to building new housing, and, until we do that, we're going to keep seeing these problems. CA SB-9 and SB-10 are steps in the right direction but they're very small steps. Tokyo's approach would be better: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16704501 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16704501. Even places like New York are proposing density reductions, insanely: https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nys/central-ny/coronavirus/2020/03/18/cuomo-outlines-mandatory-statewide-density-reduction--other-measures-to-combat-spread-of-covid-19- https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nys/central-ny/coronavirus/202....
- aaronbrethorst 5y agoAlso, being unhoused exacerbates mental illness and substance abuse. https://www.americanprogress.org/article/lack-housing-mental-health-disabilities-exacerbate-one-another/ https://www.americanprogress.org/article/lack-housing-mental... https://www.kalw.org/show/crosscurrents/2016-12-07/mental-health-problems-are-often-a-consequence-not-a-cause-of-homelessness#stream/0 https://www.kalw.org/show/crosscurrents/2016-12-07/mental-he...
- AlexandrB 5y agoI don't buy it. In Toronto, there are new condo buildings going up seemingly on every block, but there are still 10,000 homeless[1]. The inconvenient truth is that building low-income housing is not very profitable and no entity driven by the profit motive wants to do it. The margins on luxury condos are much better. [1] https://www.fredvictor.org/facts-about-homelessness-in-toronto/ https://www.fredvictor.org/facts-about-homelessness-in-toron...
- trinovantes 5y agoWhen you're severely constrained by where you can build thanks to NIMBY, you always build whatever has the highest margins i.e. luxury 1bd condos
- azinman2 5y agoThat's actually perfectly fine. The more you build for the top end, the more you pressure release on the lower end.
- trinovantes 5y agoThe people buying luxury condos are usually single professionals who previously lived with their parents. Them moving out of their parents homes don't add more housing supply to help the homeless.
- azinman2 5y ago