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Thousands of researchers making predictions with ever shifting probabilities is what you call unfalsifiable. The predictions we’re talking about play out over
by nostrebored 5y ago
Thousands of researchers making predictions with ever shifting probabilities is what you call unfalsifiable.
The predictions we’re talking about play out over decades. The sources cite other predictions. It’s a feedback loop of assumptions and peer review from people who you know already share the same assumptions.
Climate science is much more akin to sociology than a hard science.
- adrianN 5y agoExcept climate science has tons and tons of hard data that the models need to agree with to be publishable, whereas sociology has questionnaires administered to a group of 20 sociology students.
- nostrebored 5y agoMaking a model that agrees with historical data is literally the base case for modeling. Like it is a feature of all forecasting solutions