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What Will Drive China to War?

• dekhn 5y ago
  Nothing will drive china to a direct conflict with the united states. Think about it: China is a country whose military has never actually been tested in a large-scale conflict with a savvy, well-resourced enemy. They have literally no idea what their generals and soldiers are going to do if Beijing declared war. They spent the last 20 years talking big and then the economic boom started turning into a bust. They have massive aging population with coming health problems coupled with a young population that is completely decoupled from the leadership. They massively pollute their land and air to sell us cheap chips. The reality is Biden could park 3 aircraft carriers right outside of China's maritime borders with guns and planes flying around constantly and the most we'd see is some vigorous chest-beating from Xi's lieutenants and then a retreat.
  • grammarnazzzi 5y ago
    Never? Everything changes. Do you honestly expect China will become more humble and less bold over time?
    • dekhn 5y ago
      Yep, they only grew more bold when people capitulated to them. When people (the US, taiwan, philipines, etc) don't, they don't really have an ability to respond that doesn't hurt them. It won't be until they get tested in a real war with a real adversary that anybody will take them seriously as a war power.
• grammarnazzzi 5y ago
  "We will bury you!" -- Khrushchev, November 18, 1956. Those who get in the way of China’s ascent will have their “heads bashed bloody against a Great Wall of steel.” - Xi Jinping, July 1, 2021 nice