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It makes my flesh crawl to see college reduced purely to ROI, but at least they're honest that that's what they're doing. I just hope people at least consider
by sfink 5y ago
It makes my flesh crawl to see college reduced purely to ROI, but at least they're honest that that's what they're doing.
I just hope people at least consider all of the other "outputs" of going to college when reading something like this. The ROI analysis is good data, it answers an important question. But there are many, many other important questions worth answering. (And most of them aren't quantifiable, so it's not like you could do a study on them if you wanted to.)
College can be an awful experience for some people even if they end up making good money. And it can be an excellent life experience for people who end up making dirt. I got lucky -- I had a great experience, I learned a lot of important non-academic things, I broke out of my shell, and it's pretty directly responsible for a large portion of my earnings. (And yes, the numbers for my university and major from the study match my current income and age quite well.)
But now I have a kid in high school, and I'm facing all the questions about what futures to keep open and what ones to sacrifice in the service of others. College is much more expensive now. My family was dirt poor and so I had massive financial aid; any financial aid my kid gets will have to be merit-based. Degree inflation has sucked away a lot of the value of having a degree. I can afford to support a less secure (low-risk) path through life if I think it would be better for my kid as a human being. These are not easy questions to be facing.
- lotsofpulp 5y ago> It makes my flesh crawl to see college reduced purely to ROI, but at least they're honest that that's what they're doing. Every choice a person makes has an implicit ROI calculation. It is good to make them explicit to make them accurate, to prevent from being disappointed due to erroneous calculations.
- Dudeman112 5y ago>from being disappointed due to erroneous calculations It's also good to be explicit about the bits not calculated in the ROI. Utility functions that only use monies as input is sooo 18th century.
- lotsofpulp 5y agoThe concept of ROI does not need to be restricted to money. Every time someone thinks “I will do this because it is worth it or worth my time”, whether it be talking to a neighbor or performing labor in exchange for money, you are making the calculation.
- Dudeman112 5y agoThat's... My point.
- zdragnar 5y agoThe thing is, all of the other benefits you list are luxury items. There are myriad ways of improving yourself. Taking out massive loans to do so with everything we have access to now only makes sense if the loans have a lower interest rate than your investment returns, or if the end result is a degree that opens doors to a higher income bracket. There are other funding mechanisms possible, but after decades of free flowing money from government backed loans to students, university budgets are extremely inflated and should be substantially cut back if we expect someone else (I.e. taxes) to be paying the tuition.
- WkndTriathlete 5y ago> decades of free flowing money from government backed loans to students This, along with the perception that any college degree is a golden ticket, is the root of the problem. The article mentions that 2/3rds of high-school graduates now attend college. That number is double what it was 30 years ago, and I'd argue that only a small fraction of that additional one-third should be getting a college degree. My assumption is that a large percentage of the additional one-third is getting college degrees based in part or whole on free-flowing government-guaranteed financial aid, which is provided under the (mistaken) assumption that raising disadvantaged students up the income ladder can be solved by throwing money at them in order to get them any college degree.
- trixie_ 5y agoThere are cheaper ways to learn 'non-academic things' and 'break out of your shell' than by paying 20k a year.
- ryan93 5y ago*60k
- standardUser 5y agoIn-state tuition is around $13k/year at UCs and $7k/year at CSUs, and that's before applying the many grants available to lower and middle income families.
- barry-cotter 5y agoDon't forget to include the cost in forgone wages. That's got to be at least $20k a year.
- devwastaken 5y agoEven if you put $0 down on the FAFSA and taxes, you will still not cover tuition even at an affordable school. Federal student loans only cover about $2000 subsidized and $2500 unsubsidized. Housing already is an unsubsidized loan, if not more, to live in a brick room with immature kids that shouldn't be in school. Did I mention how much sleep you don't get? Meal plans are required your freshman semester, that's $2200 at an affordable school. Even with all the grants and student loans in the world you still have to take out private loans. Private loans you have to pay on every month. Work study is factored into costs already, meaning to get those numbers you have to work at the University. Work study is only available to lowest of income, and those with parents are screwed out of it. Uni's are also not close enough to most external work, so how exactly are students going to pay on those loans? Parking is non existent at major universities. Owning a vehicle is not a real concept, and even if a student does (like I), insurance and costs are very expensive. How is that being paid for? There are far too many students whom parents refuse to help. Parent income has no relevance to affordability of school for many students. Turns out American parents are terribly ignorant, even after their degree. We need to federally regulate universities, fire a lot of people, remove most general requirements, shorten degrees to 2 years, and a whole lot of other things.
- neutronicus 5y agoThe ROI analysis helps understand whether subsidized college enables social mobility. Subsidized college is politically convenient because you can sell it to corporate interests as reducing the cost of skilled labor, to labor as a way to move up social strata, and to lower-level elites as a way to facilitate booting incompetent or uncouth people out of their stratum (you can sum up the latter two clauses as "meritocracy"). If people weren't forced to accept subsidized college as a substitute for wealth redistribution (IMO this is largely the case) you might not see so much obsession with ROI.
- jerf 5y agoIncreasingly I see the idea of thinking of college in any other terms as a deliberate meme designed to make people pay extremely high prices and put them in a debt trap, and that the sources of that meme like it that way. Before college can be creating well-rounded citizenry or provide "excellent life experiences" or any of the other things people want of it, it must first provide a good ROI. This is a necessary foundation. If it is not doing that, then all the other fancy things are merely digging the debt trap in deeper because you're paying for all these things while failing to obtain a method of paying them back. As a culture, in decades past we were used to college generally being so cheap that providing a good ROI wasn't that big a deal. It's much easier to get a good ROI out of something cheap. So we focused on the higher layers and were able to neglect the fact that the higher layers were always built on a foundation of the fact that college in general was a good ROI. Consequently we have come to misinterpret those higher level things as the purpose of college. But it is necessary that these aspirational benefits be setting on a good foundation of good ROI to not be abusive to the customer. It is not and must not be considered some sort of betrayal to be worried about ROI for college. It must simply be seen as an understanding of the fact that as the costs have changed, the way we must analyze college has also changed. It was always true, it's just now it has manifested in a larger way.
- burnafter184 5y agoDo you actually have anything to back that up? I'm not being antagonistic, but the impression I've gotten is that education was largely done for the sake of itself, like if you read Les Miserables the collegiate cast was largely poor - with the exception being those of high birth. Which I mean, take that for how you will, it is a fictional work. But then in Ancient China we see stuff like the Imperial Exam, which does sort of direct the education->wealth, but you still see the pattern of high birth being the ultimate determinant of success in most cases. Which to me says there is a paternal drive to have your kids educated, but for the sake of education itself, since ostensibly the family unit is already well established. But I'm actually really interested in reading a historical perspective of education, so if you've got some sources I'd appreciate your sharing them.
- 5y ago
- beefman 5y agoMy flesh is crawling because ROI doesn't have units of dollars.
- tzs 5y agoJohn Adams had it right in a letter he wrote from Paris, France in 1780 to his wife Abigail who was back in the US [1]. > I could fill Volumes with Descriptions of Temples and Palaces, Paintings, Sculptures, Tapestry, Porcelaine, &c. &c. &c. -- if I could have time. But I could not do this without neglecting my duty. The Science of Government it is my Duty to study, more than all other Sciences: the Art of Legislation and Administration and Negotiation, ought to take Place, indeed to exclude in a manner all other Arts. I must study Politicks and War that my sons may have liberty to study Mathematicks and Philosophy. My sons ought to study Mathematicks and Philosophy, Geography, natural History, Naval Architecture, navigation, Commerce and Agriculture, in order to give their Children a right to study Painting, Poetry, Musick, Architecture, Statuary, Tapestry and Porcelaine. We've just gotten a bit stuck at the middle step. [1] https://www.masshist.org/digitaladams/archive/doc?id=L17800512jasecond https://www.masshist.org/digitaladams/archive/doc?id=L178005...
- vmception 5y agosort of? Many people study the final steps, it just needs to be an objective decision, and somehow it just isn't for most of the US college attending population.
- freeopinion 5y agoJohn Adams was not a poor starving college student in Paris. He had graduated from Harvard 25 years earlier. He was, however, very committed to his purpose. And probably over-compensating for frat house Ben.
- sershe 5y agoInteresting, my take on this quote was always sorta the reverse - the one based on Ibn Khaldun; Adams should have added add "so that their children would again have to study Politicks and War". I wish we could get stuck on the 2nd stage forever! But I feel like we are well into the 3rd stage and may be on the way back to the 1st ;)
- LudwigNagasena 5y ago> I got lucky -- I had a great experience, I learned a lot of important non-academic things, I broke out of my shell 11 years of schooling before college, extracurriculars, friends and family weren’t enough for that? Huh, maybe something wrong is not only with colleges but with child upbringing as a whole if that’s true for many people.
- showerst 5y ago18-22ish is a formative time for many people. If you were fully formed at age 18 with just exposure to the family any friends you grew up with that’s great, but the new perspective and easing into freedom of college is valuable for many people.
- sershe 5y agoWhy is that, though? I think it points back to problems with earlier schooling. People used to be pretty independent at 18 in the past, as far as I know, with formative years being much earlier.
- LudwigNagasena 5y agoIs it valuable or just different? What’s so magical about the numbers 18-22?
- showerst 5y agoIt's not the years (roughly speaking) -- move college to 16, or 20, the point still stands. For many people it's the first time they leave the only family/friend/schooling setting they've ever lived with. Some people certainly don't need that, but I think a soft-entry into the real world in a more limited environment is not to be dismissed outright. It was certainly helpful for me. No matter how good your family and secondary schooling is (and for many people, it is lousy!), I think that having only one environment and set of perspectives before you're assumed to be a solo capable adult is not ideal.
- 5y ago
- fiftyfifty 5y agoThe problem is colleges and universities have increased their prices so much over the last 20 years they're forcing people to make this kind of analysis on ROI. In the old days a young person could pay for a local university with a part time job and spend 4 years getting a major with a poor ROI just because it was interesting or so they can participate in campus life, but those days are gone. Now that a 4 year degree could result in a lifetime of debt people should do some careful analysis before making that kind of decision, and that’s purely on these institutions of higher learning for pricing themselves out of the market.
- bjelkeman-again 5y agoHere is where I realise how happy I am to live in a country with a pretty good educational system, which is free to any citizen who qualifies to enter. Commercial healthcare and education seem to really bring about the worst aspects of a market economy, in some countries. Not sure where it works well, it maybe somewhere.
- yjftsjthsd-h 5y ago> Commercial healthcare and education seem to really bring about the worst aspects of a market economy, in some countries. Not sure where it works well, it maybe somewhere. Mostly, IMO, because they're not free markets. Healthcare actively fights price transparency, and is largely driven by fixed demand and artificially constrained supply. College costs can only do what they do because the whole thing is financed by grants and uniquely binding loans pushed on students who barely understand what they're getting into. If we could force the whole thing into an actual free market, it'd vastly improve the situation.
- anamax 5y ago> which is free to any citizen who qualifies to enter. Ah yes, "qualifies". How many citizens "qualify"? The number of people who qualify is decided by two people - the person allocating money and the person running the education system. The person allocating the money says "I'll give you {amount}". The person running the education system says "{amount} will let us educate {number}".
- sharadov 5y agoDon't go to college in the US. Go to college in other countries which are cheaper - Canada, certain European countries, Asia. The money goes a long way, and you get a multitude of rich and diverse cultural experiences. This might not work for everyone, but if the individual is independent, mature and extroverted, might be a great choice.
- otoburb 5y ago>>Go to college in other countries which are cheaper - Canada Canadian universities are still eye-wateringly expensive if you're an international (i.e. non-Canadian) student according to tuition fee schedules from University of Toronto¹, McGill², Queens³, University of British Columbia⁴ and Western University⁵. ¹ https://planningandbudget.utoronto.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Tuition-Fee-Schedules-2021-22-Final-1.pdf https://planningandbudget.utoronto.ca/wp-content/uploads/202... ² https://www.mcgill.ca/undergraduate-admissions/finances/cost-guide https://www.mcgill.ca/undergraduate-admissions/finances/cost... ³ https://www.queensu.ca/registrar/sites/webpublish.queensu.ca.uregwww/files/files/Tuition_2021_UG_Summer.pdf https://www.queensu.ca/registrar/sites/webpublish.queensu.ca... ⁴ https://students.ubc.ca/enrolment/finances/tuition-fees/undergraduate-tuition-fees https://students.ubc.ca/enrolment/finances/tuition-fees/unde... ⁵ https://www.registrar.uwo.ca/student_finances/fees_refunds/pdfsfeeschedule/Fall%20Winter%202021-2022%20UGRD%20fee%20schedule%20INTL.pdf https://www.registrar.uwo.ca/student_finances/fees_refunds/p...
- sudosysgen 5y agoFrancophone universities are significantly cheaper, but you have to speak French. As a Montrealer the thought of paying 53 000$ to study a year at McGill is insane to me. Especially since international students have to study one more year than those from Quebec! McGill being more expensive than other universities is a large part of why I chose not to study there, and that was only around 10 000$ extra over my whole degree.
- R0b0t1 5y agoIt's not easy to get in to these places if you are from the US. Less than the top 10% of students would qualify with their diploma.
- Fogest 5y agoI was in high school about 6-8 years ago now and I can tell you that high schools constantly push going to University. It doesn't matter if you're going into a program like psychology with 800 other students or if you're going into STEM, they push you to just go to University "because employers want it". And parents often feel that same pressure and just want their kid to have a degree. I went to university for software engineering, but I minored in psychology. So many people in my minor seemed to be doing it for their parents and not as much for themselves. When they graduated they weren't really much further in life than before University. If anything a lot of them were further set back. Because their job prospects with such a degree are basically non-existent. The university will happily pump through tons of students in degrees that have almost zero demand. In a program like psych the only way to even find a job that needs you and would pay a bit more is if you get a masters or PhD. I know so many people who graduated programs like psych and they are barely making above minimum wage and didn't really get to utilize their degree. And not only that, but they often have a lot of debt. On the other hand, trades are in very high demand. Most trade programs here are just 1-2 years long and you'll exit them with a job secured almost right away and already be making fairly decent money. You'll be making more money than almost anyone with a Uni degree in a non-STEM field. But despite this, it was barely even presented as an option in high-school. We had Universities come and give talks about what it's like, and what kinds of programs they offered. Did we get the same about other education options? Nope. For some reason there is this view in society that you have to have a degree otherwise you won't be successful and that you're not smart. In fact media/entertainment often also pushes this same narrative which doesn't help things either. So many of those psych grads I talked about ended up going back to college (In Canada college is like a trades school or community college in America) to take additional programs on HR or admin related topics. They find their degree didn't get them anywhere and they end up having to go to another kind of education to make themselves hirable.
- BeetleB 5y agoI'd agree with your sentiment if college was as cheap as it was 20+ years ago, but in many places it's become so expensive that it's almost mandatory to consider the cost in these decisions.
- nsv 5y agoIf something costs tens of thousands of dollars, it must be looked at in terms of ROI, or otherwise be reserved for the ultra-wealthy.
- tshaddox 5y agoI don't know. To some extent I do agree with you that the social experience of attending university can be very valuable in ways that aren't easy to measure. But part of the reason for that is that university is pretty much the only socially acceptable way for 18-22 year olds to move away from their parents for the first time and spend 4 years burning huge amounts of money hanging out with other 18-22 year olds. And I mostly agree with the article's claim that "Most students attend college in order to get a better job with a higher salary," or at least that's the core reason why it's generally socially acceptable to attend a university. What if there were other socially acceptable ways for 18-22 year olds to hang out with peers, and get exposure to various fields of study and potential career paths, that had significantly different ROI factors than traditional universities?
- sfink 5y agoI absolutely agree. I'm hopeful that with the ridiculous debt loads that are common today, that there's enough pressure to start inventing these kinds of things. "Succeeding" at the current setup (which includes not going broke) requires high school juniors to know enough about what they want to do that they can do the ROI calculation, and heavily penalizes them for getting it "wrong". Which is ridiculous and unfair. It also pushes everyone to be the sort of people who I don't particularly like to hang out with.
- rmason 5y agoROI shouldn't be the only consideration. But a student should know it ahead of time. I was undecided whether to major in either electrical engineering or journalism. I had a passion for both, I was a amateur radio operator who built his own gear and was also editor of my high school newspaper. When a counselor at my university told me that I was four times more likely to get a job as a J grad in when I graduated vs an ee grad it made my decision for me. I mean after all he was the expert. Four years later however the exact reverse was true ;<).
- MR4D 5y ago>It makes my flesh crawl to see college reduced purely to ROI... Imagine knowing that one of the houses you are looking to buy will leave you worse off than the others. Would you find that information useful? Think of this as the same thing - some choices will leave you permanently worse off. I'd rather know that ahead of time so that I can either avoid them, or at a minimum, understand what I'm getting in to.
- david38 5y agoIf you have to borrow for college, you should consider ROI.
- inglor_cz 5y agoIt also makes my flesh crawl knowing that American kids at the age of 18 take up massive debt, while they aren't even considered mature enough to drink legally by the same country. Large debt is a unique burden. One should not start their financial life with it. Much like skiing, running or doing calculus, one should do baby steps first before proceeding to make huge investments and committing oneself to a decade or more of indebtedness. Many ancient societies held a strong taboo against massive debts - for a reason. For people outside prison, it is the closest you can get to enslavement in a completely legal way.
- mcguire 5y agoThe tragedy of the commons---the return on your (personal) investment, in monetary terms, is the easiest and obviously most (personally) important factor to consider.
- Sohcahtoa82 5y ago> It makes my flesh crawl to see college reduced purely to ROI, but at least they're honest that that's what they're doing. When going to college means taking on tens of thousands of dollars in debt, it makes sense to start looking at ROI, especially when there's a certain group of people that will tell you "If you want to make a living wage, then you need to go to college and make something of yourself!", then will ostracize them for making bad financial decisions when they take on massive student loan debt to pay for the college. EDIT: To add a point of anecdata, when I finished my BS in CS in 2014, I came out with ~$45,000 in student loan debt. And this is on the LOWER end of debt, and I was only able to have it so low because I had already been living in the city my university was in. I still worked ~30 hours/week while going to school full time. If I had to stay in dorms or something, I probably would have had $100K+ in debt. It's absolutely ridiculous.
- wahern 5y ago> ~$45,000 in student loan debt. And this is on the LOWER end of debt $45,000 is well above the average student loan debt even as of 2021, which is variously reported as $35-40k (but see $30k, below). The median debt amount is substantially lower (~1/2), but it doesn't fit the narrative so it's rarely reported. What's unclear to me is whether these numbers are for all outstanding debt, or for debts at graduation. This site says the 2021 average debt at graduation is $36k, https://educationdata.org/average-student-loan-debt-by-year https://educationdata.org/average-student-loan-debt-by-year ($30k at https://thecollegeinvestor.com/33643/average-student-loan-monthly-payment/ https://thecollegeinvestor.com/33643/average-student-loan-mo...). But this site says the median outstanding debt amount for all people with student loans is $20-25k, https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2021-economic-well-being-of-us-households-in-2020-student-loans.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2021-economic-we... That's very confusing, especially considering that [1] and [2] give $17k and $19k, respectively, for the median. I can't square these numbers unless, perhaps, it's the case that people even at the lower end aren't paying down principal and are accumulating interest debt. (EDIT: The "all outstanding" median Fed figure makes more sense when you realize that it excludes those who managed to pay off their loans entirely, and so it will have a long tail of very high debt students, the very same students inflating the average to begin with, and the ones most likely to be stuck in a debt trap.) [1] https://thecollegeinvestor.com/33643/average-student-loan-monthly-payment/ https://thecollegeinvestor.com/33643/average-student-loan-mo... [2] https://www.valuepenguin.com/average-student-loan-debt https://www.valuepenguin.com/average-student-loan-debt
- didip 5y ago> It makes my flesh crawl to see college reduced purely to ROI, but at least they're honest that that's what they're doing. This comment is coming from the position of privilege. And I cannot possibly agree to it. Gone are the good old days of cheap/free college in the US. As parents, it is our responsibility to help our kids to avoid these "new" financial traps. These kids will be robbed from their own future if we let them be enslaved to large debts. Not to mention a lot of other complex issues such as jobs disappearing due to automation, greater wealth gap even between the middle class, etc. The kids are too young to understand these traps. We should help them.
- sfink 5y ago>> It makes my flesh crawl to see college reduced purely to ROI, but at least they're honest that that's what they're doing. > This comment is coming from the position of privilege. Absolutely. That's why I said so later in the message. I can now afford to pay the ridiculous prices without either me or my children going into debt. Ironically, that ability is a direct result of me going to college, with massive (mostly need-based) financial aid. But I am not pretending that my past history is relevant in today's world. My decision back then was based on a situation that no longer exists, not for me, my children, nor anyone else. > And I cannot possibly agree to it. What part? I agreed that ROI is valuable information. I guess you're saying that it's ok to reduce college to financial ROI, that ROI outweighs everything else and so everything else can be ignored. I agree with that if you're in a situation where you will end up in massive debt. Having a good time and learning lots is not going to counterbalance that. But not everyone is, and it's not based completely on how much money you have. Financial aid availability varies, college prices are across the board higher but some are less overpriced than others, community college transfers can halve the total expense, etc. The scenario of ending up debt-ridden is far, far more common today, but it's still far from universal. Looking only at theoretical ROI leads to bad decisions like going into a field you hate because it has better ROI, then abandoning it and ending up worse off. You need to look at ROI and other outcomes.
- tumregels 5y agoReal life advice You should consider helping your kid to learn a foreign language of a developed country, such as France, Germany. The investment into private tutor, who will prepare him for TEFAQ or DAF test will pay off in the long run. Once he knows French or German he can apply to really good universities in France, Germany or Quebec(Canada). The education in Europe is really cheap. Its about 1500 euro per year, and his monthly expenses are within 1000 euro. So you end up paying about 15K euro per year. The price range for Quebec province universities is about 7000 CAD per year and about 1000 CAD for monthly expenses. Overall, the investment in a foreign language will completely pay off. In the worst scenario your son will have a backup plan to move to Europe/Canada and live a normal life. US is not the only place in this world to get a good education.
- sfink 5y agoThanks. I had been thinking along those lines, but not quite that far. It is good advice.