3 ms·
No, certainly not. However there's an interesting paper that shows that we're nearing peak fossil fuels probably much faster (in particular for coal) than most
by wazoox 5y ago
No, certainly not. However there's an interesting paper that shows that we're nearing peak fossil fuels probably much faster (in particular for coal) than most seem to anticipate, due to limits in EROEI. See
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0306261921011673?via%3Dihub https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S03062...
And also
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/16/5112 https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/16/5112
A naive calculation brings 2037 as the global turning point for peak available energy from fossils (see the articles).
- adventured 5y agoIt's rather staggering to think that global emissions might continue to rapidly climb for another 20+ years yet at a minimum, given the numbers as they are now.
- r00fus 5y agoThat scenario would definitely be in the interests of the fossil fuel producers as prices would skyrocket during a supply shortage with demand constant or barely tapering.
- soperj 5y agoScience direct article doesn't really align with what we know about oil production. For instance, why would oil sands production decline? These are major installations where the majority of the cost is upfront. They aren't going to need to build new upgraders in the next 30 years to keep it rolling.