| A lot prediction markets suffer from the fact that volatility in them is limited and that the outcome is not of interest to many people +1. This is why I'm m

| A lot prediction markets suffer from the fact that volatility in them is limited and that the outcome is not of interest to many people +1. This is why I'm more interested these days in prediction markets within (large) institutions, like tech companies, universities, or government agencies. That way, the participants have (a) a shared domain of interest, and (b) can speculate about internal, nonpublic matters. Perhaps most importantly, if the prediction market improves the wisdom of the institution, the participants benefit - even if they aren't profitable in the market itself.