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Assuming that you're between 18-49 years old, the CDC puts the infection fatality rate for that age group at 0.15%. So, unvaccinated, you would have a 99.85% ch

Assuming that you're between 18-49 years old, the CDC puts the infection fatality rate for that age group at 0.15%. So, unvaccinated, you would have a 99.85% chance of not dying. Being vaccinated, of course, further improves your odds. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena... The younger you are within that bracket, your odds improve even more. If you have no comorbidities, even better. Basically, I wouldn't be worrying about death as any given young individual, but at a population scale, COVID is quite deadly. I'm personally much more worried about the other reported effects and lasting tissue damage.

OrvalWintermute 5y ago
> Assuming that you're between 18-49 years old That is a huge range of ages and varying risk levels - in effect, you are over-averaging. **************** For a 45 year old caucasian male with no comorbidities non-smoker 0.16 (95% CI: 0.14 - 0.17 ) times the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to the average risk for the US population absolute rate of mortality of 1.3 (95% CI: 0.6 - 2.8 ) per 100000 individuals in subgroups of the population with a similar risk profile to yours during the period of 09/11/2021 - 10/01/2021. This estimate is calculated based on the CDC's Ensemble mortality forecast data.. 95% CI: Error bounds with 95% confidence. **************** For an 18 year old caucasian male with no comorbidities non-smoker 0.02 (95% CI: 0.02 - 0.02 ) times the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to the average risk for the US population. absolute rate of mortality of 1.3 (95% CI: 0.6 - 2.8 ) per 100000 individuals in subgroups of the population with a similar risk profile to yours during the period of 09/11/2021 - 10/01/2021. This estimate is calculated based on the CDC's Ensemble mortality forecast data.. 95% CI: Error bounds with 95% confidence. **************** Calculated using JHU's COVID-19 Mortality Risk Calculation https://covid19risktools.com:8443/riskcalculator https://covid19risktools.com:8443/riskcalculator
- Jabbles 5y ago
  You've copy pasted something wrong
nradov 5y ago
Your numbers are way off. The CDC estimate of fatality rate in the 18-49 age group is 0.06%. And that's highly dependent on co-morbid conditions. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd...
SavantIdiot 5y ago
Mid-50's with an existing disease. Which is why I got my shot early. I have good reason to worry.

OrvalWintermute 5y ago

> Assuming that you're between 18-49 years old That is a huge range of ages and varying risk levels - in effect, you are over-averaging. **************** For a 45 year old caucasian male with no comorbidities non-smoker 0.16 (95% CI: 0.14 - 0.17 ) times the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to the average risk for the US population absolute rate of mortality of 1.3 (95% CI: 0.6 - 2.8 ) per 100000 individuals in subgroups of the population with a similar risk profile to yours during the period of 09/11/2021 - 10/01/2021. This estimate is calculated based on the CDC's Ensemble mortality forecast data.. 95% CI: Error bounds with 95% confidence. **************** For an 18 year old caucasian male with no comorbidities non-smoker 0.02 (95% CI: 0.02 - 0.02 ) times the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to the average risk for the US population. absolute rate of mortality of 1.3 (95% CI: 0.6 - 2.8 ) per 100000 individuals in subgroups of the population with a similar risk profile to yours during the period of 09/11/2021 - 10/01/2021. This estimate is calculated based on the CDC's Ensemble mortality forecast data.. 95% CI: Error bounds with 95% confidence. **************** Calculated using JHU's COVID-19 Mortality Risk Calculation https://covid19risktools.com:8443/riskcalculator https://covid19risktools.com:8443/riskcalculator

Jabbles 5y ago
You've copy pasted something wrong

nradov 5y ago

Your numbers are way off. The CDC estimate of fatality rate in the 18-49 age group is 0.06%. And that's highly dependent on co-morbid conditions. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd...

SavantIdiot 5y ago

Mid-50's with an existing disease. Which is why I got my shot early. I have good reason to worry.