4 ms·
Information like this reveals just how fundamentally unserious the search for pandemic origins is. All of the energy around it from all sides is about crafting
by shalmanese 5y ago
Information like this reveals just how fundamentally unserious the search for pandemic origins is. All of the energy around it from all sides is about crafting politically advantageous narratives, not uncovering factual evidence to help prevent the next pandemic.
If the information in this article is true, then it shows an extremely geographically dispersed and low level of infection across the US in December of 2019. This is notably different from the pandemic pattern in China where illness was extremely concentrated in Hubei province with limited and mostly contact traceable chains of infection leading back to Hubei in other provinces.
My completely unscientific WAG is that the zoonotic origin of the virus could have happened anywhere in the world and the virus was circulating worldwide at low levels, undetected for months before Dec 2019. Some mutation of the virus happened in Wuhan in Dec 2019 that caused it to explode across Hubei. Another mutation happened in Europe to cause the D614G strain that spread across the world and then another mutation in India caused the Delta variant that we have today.
We've seen that each successive mutation effectively wipes the previous one off the map over the course of about 2 months. This coupled with early testing in other countries being restricted only to those with travel history to China means we lost key parts of the evidence. This would explain why animal testing in China failed to find the origin of the virus and how we have so many puzzling (frustratingly ambiguous) reports of early COVID (in France, Italy, Brazil, the US) that complicate the timeline.
The media has been shockingly complicit in not airing the totality of the early covid evidence. eg: 3 deer were recently found with COVID antibodies across different states in the US in Jan 2020 but this news barely made a ripple: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/article/wild-us-deer-found-with-coronavirus-antibodies https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/article/wild-us-d...
- nradov 5y agoThere are blood samples which may show the virus was circulating in Italy as early as September 2019. But the tests might be flawed. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/dispute-over-italian-coronavirus-study-shows-challenges-probing-origins-2021-07-23/ https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/dispute-over-italian-co...