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That thread is really dumb. You can't just throw stuff out there like "You're 20x more likely to die of homicide!" and expect to be taken seriously. 1. The dem
by yupper32 5y ago
That thread is really dumb. You can't just throw stuff out there like "You're 20x more likely to die of homicide!" and expect to be taken seriously.
1. The demographic that is likely to win lotteries might already be more likely to die of homicide (or become bankrupt, etc) than the general population.
2. Throwing large multiples out sounds flashy, but it doesn't mean much if the probability was already extremely low.
You're not fucked if you win the lottery... The amount you can afford with 100 million is incredible. Buy a huge lot and hire security. Hire great attorneys and financial firms to handle details. Don't spend more than you expect to make in interest yearly.
Boom, saved you from having to read a wall of Reddit lottery porn.
- throwaway0a5e 5y agoThat thread isn't particularly dumb. It's a completely normal level of dumbness for a reddit thread. You just happened to be able to smell the bullshit because you approached the topic in question with a critical eye.
- allsmjio 5y agoThey’re just nitpicking the unimportant bits while unwittingly(?) agreeing with the important bits (and adding some silliness of his own). But somehow that sort of smug contrarianism attracts this sort of self-congratulatory back rub about how “we” on hackernews are so much more enlightened than the blue forum’s masses…thus fulfilling the “normal level of dumbness” for an Orange Subreddit thread.
- yupper32 5y agoI'm not nitpicking the unimportant bits. Half the thread is telling people why they're fucked (No really. You are. You're fucked.), and then using incorrect statistics and a long anecdote to back up their claim. I am not making any claims on the dumbness on either platform, though.
- throwaway0a5e 5y agoI never said it's any better here. All these "cram a bunch of disparate interest in one place" platforms are crap when it comes to discussion quality as far as I'm concerned. You want good discussion on a topic you gotta go where only the people who do that topic are and everyone else isn't.
- adventured 5y ago> You're not fucked if you win the lottery... The amount you can afford with 100 million is incredible. Buy a huge lot and hire security. You're correct about not being fucked. It's dramatically easier than that though. Just go melt into New York City, where there are many thousands of people in that general wealth category. The US has ~180,000 people with $30 million or more in wealth. 180,000! You can trivially vanish in numerous major cities in the US if you have $100 million. No need to hire elaborate security or buy a fortress. With $1b it's still difficult to vanish; with $100m it's trivial. You won't show up on the money lists, the public won't know you exist, you won't be famous, the news media and paparazzi isn't going to hound you.
- philwelch 5y agoBut I don't want to live in New York City. If I was forced to live in New York City, in terms of my personal life preferences and choices, I would characterize that as "fucked".
- philwelch 5y ago> You're not fucked if you win the lottery... The amount you can afford with 100 million is incredible. Buy a huge lot and hire security. Hire great attorneys and financial firms to handle details. Don't spend more than you expect to make in interest yearly. If you bothered actually reading the thread, that's what it says to do.
- yupper32 5y agoI did read it. Why do you think I said "saved you from having to read a wall of Reddit lottery porn"?