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Fewer cases means tracking them is still feasible. Exponential growth can only happen after officials are overwhelmed with cases. Shutting down air travel proba
by musha68k 5y ago
Fewer cases means tracking them is still feasible. Exponential growth can only happen after officials are overwhelmed with cases. Shutting down air travel probably would have relieved pressure enough to follow up on cases - doubling rate tells us beginning of February would still have bought us the necessary time. Beginning of March to mid of March it was game over already I agree.
- nradov 5y agoCase tracking hasn't really been effective even in areas with limited spread. It's a failed strategy. Exponential growth starts immediately as soon as there's one contagious carrier, although it takes a couple weeks for absolute numbers to grow really large.
- musha68k 5y agoWhat about South Korea? Mask mandates? In addition to lockdowns. I mean it’s multiple things that politicians and officials had to get right of course. Unfortunately >90% really failed us on that practically everywhere.
- nradov 5y agoSouth Korea has a growing number of cases. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-korea/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-kore... Mask mandates can be marginally useful in slowing down the spread on a temporary, limited basis. But they're obviously unsustainable. The virus is here to stay and asymptomatic people aren't going to wear masks forever. Much of the spread takes place inside private homes where no one wears masks.
- musha68k 5y agoI thought we were still talking about the beginning of the pandemic? South Korea did fend off the virus through contact tracing, mask mandates and lockdowns early on. Unfortunately most other countries did too little too late which was my original point. The result being that by now we have a full blown ever-pandemic at hand - which includes South Korea by definition.