4 ms·

Instagram has already peaked and is on the down-trend. TikTok is what the kids are using now - and they're valued at about half of what FB is valued at, so unl

Instagram has already peaked and is on the down-trend. TikTok is what the kids are using now - and they're valued at about half of what FB is valued at, so unlikely that FB will be able to buy them. Maybe FB will buy whatever replaces TikTok.

spideymans 5y ago
>Maybe FB will buy whatever replaces TikTok. It's unlikely that the government would permit such a sale.
- nradov 5y ago
  If Facebook buys the next TikTok as a small startup when they have minimal market share then the federal government would have no legal basis to block a sale.
  - ben_w 5y ago
    Governments can and do change the legal basis, and they all seem to have a problem with Big Tech right now, albeit for inconsistent reasons.
- Apocryphon 5y ago
  The governments, one should say.
- BizarroLand 5y ago
  As long as they buy it before it gets big, then the government probably won't protest too much
vlozko 5y ago
In light of all the details that has come out with regards to buying out Instagram to prevent them from being a competitor, it's a massive uphill regulatory approval climb even if money is not an issue.
jensensbutton 5y ago
I think Instagram has more staying power than TikTok as TikTok users start aging and the next generation moves onto their own platform. There's a good chance I'm wrong, but my guess is that publishing videos of yourself as a primary communication format gets less appealing with age as social circles shrink.
- cameronh90 5y ago
  Personally as a 31 year old male, I could never get into Instagram. Always just felt like a shopping catalogue posing as social media, and the discovery is terrible, no matter how much data I try to feed it. I love TikTok though, and not only do I feel like it "got me" after only a few hours of use without hearting anything or having any friends that use it. I've learnt about a lot of local events, restaurants and days out - in a way that seems way more organic than Instagram paid influencers. Honestly, their algorithm has been great for me, in a way that only really Spotify has rivalled.
  - baby 5y ago
    > having any friends that use it That’s the point, tiktok is 9gag, instagram is snapchat/facebook/twitter
- baby 5y ago
  ^ this. I would think of snapchat as a competitor to instagram, but not tiktok. You don’t go on tiktok to talk to your friends or see what’s up. Tiktok is the new 9gag rather.
nebula8804 5y ago
I still wish Oracle took over TikTok. It would have been an amazing plot twist. Would they come up an Oracle style licensing agreement for all the tweens on TikTok? Just like how Gen Z realized much faster than millennials that the economy and their future is hogwash, they would learn the consequences of agreeing to an Oracle license agreement much faster than their older peers.
- baby 5y ago
  “Tiktok is a national security threat” hahaha. I miss trump.
  - tablespoon 5y ago
    > “Tiktok is a national security threat” hahaha. I miss trump. More accurately, it's a potential national security threat, but not yet an actualized one.
tablespoon 5y ago
> Maybe FB will buy whatever replaces TikTok. If they're allowed to. There's a lot more antitrust scrutiny now than when they bought Instagram.

spideymans 5y ago

>Maybe FB will buy whatever replaces TikTok. It's unlikely that the government would permit such a sale.

nradov 5y ago
If Facebook buys the next TikTok as a small startup when they have minimal market share then the federal government would have no legal basis to block a sale.
- ben_w 5y ago
  Governments can and do change the legal basis, and they all seem to have a problem with Big Tech right now, albeit for inconsistent reasons.
Apocryphon 5y ago
The governments, one should say.
BizarroLand 5y ago
As long as they buy it before it gets big, then the government probably won't protest too much

vlozko 5y ago

In light of all the details that has come out with regards to buying out Instagram to prevent them from being a competitor, it's a massive uphill regulatory approval climb even if money is not an issue.

jensensbutton 5y ago

I think Instagram has more staying power than TikTok as TikTok users start aging and the next generation moves onto their own platform. There's a good chance I'm wrong, but my guess is that publishing videos of yourself as a primary communication format gets less appealing with age as social circles shrink.

cameronh90 5y ago
Personally as a 31 year old male, I could never get into Instagram. Always just felt like a shopping catalogue posing as social media, and the discovery is terrible, no matter how much data I try to feed it. I love TikTok though, and not only do I feel like it "got me" after only a few hours of use without hearting anything or having any friends that use it. I've learnt about a lot of local events, restaurants and days out - in a way that seems way more organic than Instagram paid influencers. Honestly, their algorithm has been great for me, in a way that only really Spotify has rivalled.
- baby 5y ago
  > having any friends that use it That’s the point, tiktok is 9gag, instagram is snapchat/facebook/twitter
baby 5y ago
^ this. I would think of snapchat as a competitor to instagram, but not tiktok. You don’t go on tiktok to talk to your friends or see what’s up. Tiktok is the new 9gag rather.

nebula8804 5y ago

I still wish Oracle took over TikTok. It would have been an amazing plot twist. Would they come up an Oracle style licensing agreement for all the tweens on TikTok? Just like how Gen Z realized much faster than millennials that the economy and their future is hogwash, they would learn the consequences of agreeing to an Oracle license agreement much faster than their older peers.

baby 5y ago
“Tiktok is a national security threat” hahaha. I miss trump.
- tablespoon 5y ago
  > “Tiktok is a national security threat” hahaha. I miss trump. More accurately, it's a potential national security threat, but not yet an actualized one.

tablespoon 5y ago

> Maybe FB will buy whatever replaces TikTok. If they're allowed to. There's a lot more antitrust scrutiny now than when they bought Instagram.