Not just might sound bad. It sounds like utter garbage in support of a theory rather than evidence. Bad mathematical reasoning here really does negate the the c

Not just might sound bad. It sounds like utter garbage in support of a theory rather than evidence. Bad mathematical reasoning here really does negate the the claim as anything more than "I wonder if ..." Could be true. Let's find out. Turning it around the probability that you have one and only one seizure could be exactly the same as the probability that you have a first seizure and it is NOT epilepsy. Those could well be different ways of saying precisely the same thing.