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Well, with that line of reasoning we cannot trust any corona statistics, can we? Anyway, the effect of failing to "fallten the curve" in Lombardy are well docu
by zibzab 5y ago
Well, with that line of reasoning we cannot trust any corona statistics, can we?
Anyway, the effect of failing to "fallten the curve" in Lombardy are well documented. And this happened in December 2019 before we had a global pandemic.
- nradov 5y agoTrust has nothing to do with it. Based on seroprevalence studies and other factors the CDC has estimated that only about a quarter of infections were officially counted as "cases". The undercounting was even worse early in the pandemic when tests were hardly available. So your point is not valid. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd...
- zibzab 5y agoBut that's US statistics, this happened in asmall area in Northern Italy. Even if we go with your numbers, we get an average of 4-5% and since we know there was a huge spike in the middle of the outbreak it is not unrealistic to assume they were above 10% at some point.