I suspect that we'll have a long time to deal with uncanny AI before we deal with strong, creative AI. I used to buy the concept of the singularity, but the re

I suspect that we'll have a long time to deal with uncanny AI before we deal with strong, creative AI. I used to buy the concept of the singularity, but the reality is that progress is logistic. Every incremental gain is harder than the gain before it. Even if an Advanced AI capable of designing state of the art hardware and AI algorithms emerges, it's likely that its successor will take even longer to deliver the same gain. More practically, the field of ML burns linearly more compute resources to deliver the same small incremental gains. We're up to ~30 million dollars to train a starcraft player or a semi-coherent story teller. I have no doubts that a billion dollar story teller will be exciting, but I also have 0 expectation that it will design a better story teller and I'm only 50% confident that there will be viable commercial applications.