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If it's possible for AGI to exist (big if) and if we're capable of building it, it may be the most significantly important technological change to ever happen,
by DantesKite 5y ago
If it's possible for AGI to exist (big if) and if we're capable of building it, it may be the most significantly important technological change to ever happen, assuming the upper limits for intelligence is high.
I would be curious to live in a world where my medical problems could be effortlessly solved by a machine.
I know and respect all the warnings about such a mind should it come into being. The abuse it could do or others could do with it.
But within that narrow sliver, I enjoy thinking about the prospect of something that could alleviate so much of our suffering.
- lumost 5y agoI suspect that we'll have a long time to deal with uncanny AI before we deal with strong, creative AI. I used to buy the concept of the singularity, but the reality is that progress is logistic. Every incremental gain is harder than the gain before it. Even if an Advanced AI capable of designing state of the art hardware and AI algorithms emerges, it's likely that its successor will take even longer to deliver the same gain. More practically, the field of ML burns linearly more compute resources to deliver the same small incremental gains. We're up to ~30 million dollars to train a starcraft player or a semi-coherent story teller. I have no doubts that a billion dollar story teller will be exciting, but I also have 0 expectation that it will design a better story teller and I'm only 50% confident that there will be viable commercial applications.
- DantesKite 5y agoCommercial applications for machine learning would be a good start. I know Microsoft is using GPT-3 in one of their software programs so users can generate specific formulas faster. It's pretty cool. Maybe one day.