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The stock market has other mechanism of value creation, one of them that the company distributes dividends which is money outside the stock market. Companies al
by ptsneves 5y ago
The stock market has other mechanism of value creation, one of them that the company distributes dividends which is money outside the stock market. Companies also use it to fund themselves to grow. It is not a zero sum game.
Crypto currency is a zero sum game and i think this is what OP was implyining.
- pizza 5y agoSeems like any currency conversion or speculation of any kind is a zero sum game then. But ostensibly if it's spent like any currency it's not zero sum
- chii 5y ago> Seems like any currency conversion or speculation of any kind is a zero sum game then it's not really zero sum - this sort of speculation creates liquidity. This liquidity allows people who want to use the underlying asset in some other way to have a buyer (or seller) on the other end of the transaction.
- DocTomoe 5y agoI was under the impression that dividends were essentially forced value selloffs, given that stock prices drop the exact amount of the dividend the moment it is paid. How is value created during dividend payment?
- klodolph 5y agoTo flip it around, the stock had a higher price to begin with because it is expected to pay dividends. I don’t think anyone is saying that the dividends themselves are what creates value.
- joosters 5y agoValue is created by the company making profits. How it uses those profits, whether by paying out dividends, buying back stock, or investing in the business, is mostly irrelevant to the value creation part.
- DocTomoe 5y agoSo, given that dividends are priced in to the value estimation by investors - which we have established is completely disconnected from actual value - and priced out once paid... it turns out that for exchanges, value is not very relevant?
- klodolph 5y ago> … which we have established is completely disconnected from actual value … This part is false. The price of a stock is not completely disconnected from actual value. The money for the dividends has to come from somewhere. If you own AAPL, the dividends are funded Apple’s business activities. If you think that Apple’s business is a dead end, you would sell off your AAPL stock and move your money somewhere else. Dividends are also only a small part of the picture.
- oceanplexian 5y ago> The stock market has other mechanism of value creation, one of them that the company distributes dividends which is money outside the stock market. I'm not sure I would describe high-flying tech stocks with no dividends, trading at 30-70 times earnings as much different. How many investors are really snapping up these stocks because they're sold on the 30+ year value proposition?
- frozenport 5y agoSome of us think Tesla or will dominate auto manufacturing.
- tinco 5y agoI'd be totally with you until 2 years ago. Now I'm not so certain. Can you truly look at TSLA and say that there's value creation behind that valuation? Or GME? And frankly, the dollar? And if it's not the case for these pathetic cases, what does that say about the rest? BTW I'm not arguing the dollar is worthless, especially not when compared to crypto, obviously the dollar has a lot more use than Bitcoin. But look at what rich people / money managers are doing with their dollars. If a Saudi prince is buying a painting by a student of Da Vinci for 450 billion dollars, what does that really say about the value of the dollar? Things are not what they seem, I guess it's always been the case that quantities of money don't scale linearly in value but it seems particularly true today. And whatever is going on, it is foolish to dismiss cryptocurrency based on something that's not true for securities and not even for other currency.
- chii 5y ago> Can you truly look at TSLA and say that there's value creation behind that valuation? the value of TSLA hasn't been created yet - the event is still in the future. The current price is based on the expectation (by many people) that their value creation in the future will occur. As for GME - the short squeeze certainly did create value. It's like charging someone dying of thirst in the desert for water. But as soon as those people got _some_ water, you can no longer charge the same high price. Thus GME's rise and fall is rational.
- tinco 5y agoThat expectation is not based in any reality, not by anyone working at Tesla, and not by anyone with any sort of realistic view of what the company will do in the future. The value of the stock simply does not have any relation to the company itself. It's easy to verify this by asking anyone holding TSLA what amount of profit Tesla will make at the point that its current valuation is justified. It doesn't even really matter how far in the future that point is, it would for an investor basing their investments on fundamentals, but that's not what's going on. As soon as you dive into the numbers, their answer will stop even mentioning the company Tesla, it will be about the American economy or the global economy in general. I agree the short squeeze held value, it was great, but its value hasn't fallen yet, it's still over ten times its fundamental value, if such a thing even exists. If GME's new plans succeed, and it does exceptionally well and it really becomes a big player in the online games industry, maybe its stock would be worth $40 or even $80. If it doesn't, then all this capital is wasted and the stock is probably worth under $4. With those two very extreme scenarios and their appropriate valuations, what is its stock doing sitting at $150? The answer is simple, just find a social gathering of GME investors, like r/superstonk, and read what they're saying about the stock. They're calling the squeeze to 450 a "baby squeeze", and that the big one is still coming. Even though as far as I know the squeeze to 450 was the largest squeeze in the history of the stock market. I'm not saying these stocks are overvalued by the way. If you've got a firm grasp on the dynamics of those stocks, it might make sense to buy/hold at these prices. Just like it made sense to hold Dogecoin to that Goldman Sachs guy. Just don't pretend it's different somehow.